As I’ve written (here and here), Barack Obama has been on track for a classic presidential honeymoon before the Blagojevich scandal came along. For instance, here’s a nice illustration from Rasmussen of how strong disapproval of the president-elect has declined since the election:
Now, however, those numbers may change (though they haven’t budged yet). Gallup has the first partisan breakdown I’ve seen in polling about the Blagojevich scandal that I’ve seen. The results show that approximately half of Republicans think Obama’s staff did something illegal or unethical:
The question is if (or when) those perceptions will translate into disapproval of Obama generally. It’ll depend on the overall strength of the flow of negative information about Obama — will Republicans back off per Newt Gingrich and John McCain or will they try to make Obama’s first year like Bill Clinton’s?