Brendan Nyhan

House GOP leadership moving right

Despite the election results, it looks like House Republicans are going to shift their leadership in a conservative direction. My friend and colleague Mike Brady, who studies Congress, put together a nice graph illustrating this point (the line represents DW-Nominate estimated ideal points on a left-right ideological dimension):
New leadership2

House GOP Whip Roy Blunt (R-Mo.) and Republican Conference Chairman Adam Putnam (R-Fla.) are stepping down from their posts and are likely to be replaced by Reps. Eric Cantor (R-Va.) and Mike Pence (R-Ind.), respectively. In addition, there has been talk of a challenge to House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-Ohio) by either Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), who ultimately withdrew his name, or Rep. Dan Lungren (R-Calif.), who is still considering it. As you can see, the new leadership entrants are all to the right of the existing leadership and the GOP House median (represented as “minority” on the graph).