Brendan Nyhan

New post-“macaca” poll puts Allen behind

The latest Zogby/Wall Street Journal poll shows George Allen down a point to James Webb — yet another sign of the shifting post-“macaca” landscape in Virginia. The futures markets have bumped the probability of an Allen victory against Webb down from 85+ to around 75 percent:


Price for Virginia Senate Race at TradeSports.com

However, Allen ’08 futures are holding steady in the 12-14 range.