 From my Twitter feed (6/20-6/27)Jun 27, 2011 at 2:38 PM |
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Highly recommended RT @monkeycageblog: Political Science and Gay Marriage in New York http://t.co/2RDQZ2s
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| Political Science and Gay Marriage in New York — The Monkey Cage A Monkey Cage reader, Jeff, emailed me and wrote: I’ll speak to this by drawing on the New York State Senate’s decision to legalize gay marriage. I look at the politics of gay marriage and see a… | |
| Jun 27, 2011 at 2:34 PM | |
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RE: Bachmann Q – “flake” is probably gendered, but worth noting that Jerry Brown, who had a similar profile, was called a “flake” for years.
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| Jun 27, 2011 at 2:31 PM | |
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RT @ChrisMooney_: “A Little Knowledge”: Why The Biggest Problem With Climate “Skeptics” May Be Their Confidence http://t.co/ScVVrj5
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 Chris Mooney | “A Little Knowledge”: Why The Biggest Problem With Climate “Skeptics” May Be Their Confidence Last week, an intriguing study emerged from Dan Kahan and his colleagues at Yale and elsewhere–finding that knowing more about science, and being better at mathematical reasoning, was related t… |
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| Jun 27, 2011 at 2:22 PM | |
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Cool graphs MT @MysteryPollster: New nat’l HuffPost Pollster GOP charts with Palin http://t.co/rAmeBrY & without http://t.co/4chEVlR
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| Jun 26, 2011 at 6:44 PM | |
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RT @mattyglesias: If NY Sen had a 60 vote supermajority rule and marriage equality failed, would people now be castigating Gov Cuomo’s weak leadership?
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| Jun 25, 2011 at 11:58 PM | |
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.@mattyglesias on misleading WH graph of # of Iraq/Afgh. troops http://j.mp/kmGoEQ Reminds me of classic Bush junk chart: http://j.mp/kYD4wc
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 Filling In The Missing Data Points On The White House’s Afghanistan/Iraq Troop Level Charts Earlier this week, ThinkProgress produced a graph illustrating the fact that Obama’s “withdrawal” plan from Afghanistan will leave more troops there than were present at the start of his adminis… |
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 The Treasury Department’s junk chart – Brendan Nyhan TrackBack URL for this entry:http://www.typepad.com/s ervices/trackback/6a00d83451d2 5c69e200d83460e19169e2 Listed below are links to weblogs that reference The Treasury Department’s junk chart: “… |
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| Jun 25, 2011 at 2:24 PM | |
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I remember when liberals opposed this kind of rhetoric RT @elliottjustin Pretty awful stuff from Hillary Clinton http://t.co/S6PuxNm
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 Glenn Greenwald: Plurality of Americans love Gadaffi Hillary Clinton, yesterday, when asked about those questioning the Libya War:But the bottom line is, whose side are you on? Are you on Qadhafi’s side or are you on the side of the aspirations o… |
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| Jun 24, 2011 at 3:57 PM | |
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RT @kwcollins: Key takeaway: social science would be easier if the government assigned more policies by random draw of birth dates: http://t.co/egY8hZl
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| The Lasting Effects of the Vietnam Draft Lottery — The Monkey Cage From a new piece (gated; ungated) by Robert Erikson and Laura Stoker. Previous research, such as by Joshua Angrist, has looked at the economic consequences of military service in Vietnam, using … | |
| Jun 23, 2011 at 12:37 PM | |
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RT @jay_ulfelder: Improving Predictions Using Ensemble Bayesian Model Averaging http://t.co/HGdp6ME | Useful new paper by Montgomery, Hollenbach & Ward.
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| http://www.duke.edu/web/method s/pdfs/EBMASingleSpaced.pdf | |
| Jun 22, 2011 at 7:43 PM | |
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RT @dandrezner: @jay_ulfelder on using regressions to forecast political instability, and what this means for China http://t.co/Jv8jf5N
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 Crystal Clear – By Jay Ulfelder In “Dark Crystal” (July/August 2011), Foreign Policy managing editor Blake Hounshell discusses social scientists’ apparent failure to predict the momentous revolutions of 2011 and concludes that… |
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| Jun 22, 2011 at 6:44 PM | |
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PBS Need to Know: Why you can’t handle the truth: the psychology of belief http://j.mp/kOYHdo (featuring @ChrisMooney_)
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 Video: Why you can’t handle the truth: the psychology of belief | Need to Know The political sharks and their remora-like pundits are already circling in anticipation of next year’s elections. Some observers complain that modern campaign speeches, advertising and debates h… |
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| Jun 22, 2011 at 3:28 PM | |
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A graduate of my high school! RT @ezraklein: Everyone saying this story by @joseiswriting is amazing is right: http://t.co/TE1uGGX
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 My Life as an Undocumented Immigrant – NYTimes.com A reporter talks about his illegal American dream. |
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| Jun 22, 2011 at 3:27 PM | |
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Bonica: “small donors tend to be ideological warriors out to reward polarizing rhetoric and to punish bipartisanship” http://j.mp/luCkId
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 Heckle and Prosper « Ideological Cartography The Washington Post recently published an article on money blurts which has also been discussed at The Monkey Cage and elsewhere. I’ve done some research on this topic, so I thought I would recy… |
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| Jun 22, 2011 at 1:33 PM | |
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.@mikeallen quotes @KevinMaddenDC “It’s OK to stop reading an article [when] the words ‘a professor of poli sci’ appear” http://j.mp/k6tePm
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 POLITICO Playbook ELEVATOR POINT: The more Bachmann is attacked, the more it helps her. BULLETIN: THE HAGUE, Netherlands (AP) – International Criminal Court judges issue arrest warrant for Moammar Gadhafi. |
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| Jun 22, 2011 at 11:48 AM | |
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I take that as a sign that we’re making progress, but let me propose instead the law of Madden:
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| Jun 22, 2011 at 11:51 AM | |
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It’s ok to stop reading any article that quotes consultants speculating about how tactics or gaffes will change election outcomes.
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| Jun 22, 2011 at 11:53 AM | |
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Or how about this? The Law of Politico: If they think it’s important, it’s probably not. (inspired by @poliscipunk)
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| Jun 22, 2011 at 12:17 PM | |
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Talk about feeding the narrative RT @billburton716 Romney only able to find $100 bills in his wallet http://t.co/oIrcFwy (via @jamisonfoser)
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 Romney sharpens attack on Dodd-Frank financial regulations AURORA, Colo. – As he tries to persuade Republicans that he can jump-start the nation’s beleaguered job market, Mitt Romney is sharpening his attack on last year’s overhaul of financial industry… |
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| Jun 21, 2011 at 7:01 PM | |
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Although he did find a five eventually RT @billburton716 Romney only able to find $100 bills in his wallet http://t.co/oIrcFwy
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| Romney sharpens attack on Dodd-Frank financial regulations AURORA, Colo. – As he tries to persuade Republicans that he can jump-start the nation’s beleaguered job market, Mitt Romney is sharpening his attack on last year’s overhaul of financial industry… |
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| Jun 21, 2011 at 7:19 PM | |
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RT @bradplumer Great piece on why InTrade doesn’t work very well for predicting the GOP primary: http://t.co/8r2Hl93 (via @postpolls)
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| InTrade And Jon Huntsman: Why The Media’s Faith In The Internet Betting Ring Is Foolish | The New Republic Few people expect Jon Huntsman to win the Republican nomination. Indeed, it seems obvious to many that his odds are a lot worse than 1 in 10. But on the predictions market InTrade, a stock-inspi… | |
| Jun 21, 2011 at 6:52 PM | |
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WaPo doesn’t call Fast and Furious a scandal yet http://j.mp/kxg97O But CNN, WSJ, Politico, CBS, Fox already have, may be matter of time
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 Obama’s nominee for ATF chief to meet with Justice Department officials President Obama’s nominee to head the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives is scheduled to meet with senior Justice Department officials Tuesday amid growing pressure on the agenc… |
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| Jun 21, 2011 at 3:21 PM | |
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Survey experiment by John Sides finds tax receipt has no effect on attitudes toward taxes, govt. waste, deficit http://j.mp/m12HXG
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 The Effects of a Tax Receipt | YouGov US Opinion Center The notion that Americans should get a “tax receipt” has gotten a lot of attention. Third Way has promoted the idea and developed an on-line calculator that actually provides one. The White Hous… |
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| Jun 21, 2011 at 2:48 PM | |
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Hibbs: Income growth needs to be +2% per year over last seven quarters for Obama to have good chance of re-election http://j.mp/iIja1D
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 http://www.douglas-hibbs.com/E lection2012/2012Election-MainP age.htm The 2012 US Presidential Election: Implications of the Bread and Peace Model Aggregate votes for president in postwar elections are well explained by just two fundamental determinants: (1) weigh… |
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| Jun 21, 2011 at 11:49 AM | |
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Current Hibbs forecast is Obama 46% due to weighted-average growth of per capita real disposable personal income of 0.1% http://t.co/ytA8YIJ
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| http://t.co/ytA8YIJ The 2012 US Presidential Election: Implications of the Bread and Peace Model Aggregate votes for president in postwar elections are well explained by just two fundamental determinants: (1) weigh… |
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| Jun 21, 2011 at 12:00 PM | |