Brendan Nyhan

Twitter roundup

Brendan Nyhan

From my Twitter feed (5/6-5/12)

May 12, 2011 at 11:31 AM

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BrendanNyhan
Abramowitz: whites high in racial resentment view Obama more negatively, more likely to question that he was born in US http://j.mp/mFiTYG
Aia2011051201-chart2 Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball » The Race Factor: White Racial Attitudes and Opinions of Obama Alan I. Abramowitz, Senior Columnist May 12th, 2011 In 2008, Barack Obama used massive majorities among African Americans and other nonwhites to overcome a large deficit among white voters and w…
May 12, 2011 at 11:29 AM
BrendanNyhan
Why political scientists treat politicians as strategic and career-motivated: http://j.mp/igBkLE
Mlk_0 Dick Lugar Futilely Pleads For His Senate Seat | The New Republic There seems to be no dignified end for the Republican Senator facing a right-wing primary challenge. Arlen Specter took the best shot he had to survive: cut a deal to switch parties. It didn’t w…
May 12, 2011 at 10:42 AM
BrendanNyhan
John Sides and The Monkey Cage: Blogger of The Year – The Week http://j.mp/m4CIBo (via @smotus)
30219_article_horizontal John Sides and The Monkey Cage: Blogger of The Year – The Week posted on May 10, 2011, at 5:55 PM Nate Silver became a superstar during the 2008 election by bringing serious statistical rigor to the horse-race coverage
of presidential polling.
May 12, 2011 at 10:39 AM
BrendanNyhan
Signs of the apocalypse – top Google search result for Madagascar is the 2008 Dreamworks sequel http://j.mp/mfafO3
Data=ltgx-e3f8cti3u5djtbt7ej1zfrneyme,wa4lgmu_dq2j5hyngtatoaf9jgbuukgd7f8-56xr4qm7yo6wy1a1fngvnd8i1esn9yplopynnrirzq madagascar – Google Search
May 11, 2011 at 11:51 PM
BrendanNyhan
RT @smotus: Gingrich, 1994: “People like me are what stand between us & Auschwitz. I see evil all around me every day.” http://bit.ly/fZCBdD
Newt2 Newt in His Own Words: 33 Years of Bomb-Throwing 1987 Gingrich takes to the House floor to decry…pretty much everything about the Democratic-run House: “After the first five months of this Congress, I must report to my fellow citizens that thi…
May 11, 2011 at 8:25 PM
BrendanNyhan
Krugman sums up the fed. govt. in budgetary terms: “basically an insurance company for old people that also has an army” http://j.mp/jDx9Ku
Why Spending Must Rise Age and doctors.
May 11, 2011 at 5:02 PM
BrendanNyhan
Poll-based GOP primary forecasts by @fivethirtyeight: http://j.mp/ljmAkM My concerns re: predictive value of early polls: http://j.mp/mk2IU8
A Polling-Based Forecast of the Republican Primary Field Two models used in tandem help us size up the unusually wide-open 2012 G.O.P. field — and disagree with the bettors on Intrade in some notable respects.
6a00d83451d25c69e200e551c0a2d98833-220si Do early primary polls matter? – Brendan Nyhan Can early primary polls tell us who is likely to win their party’s nomination for president? In a post a few months ago, I argued they provide little information: If we exclude sitting vice pres…
May 11, 2011 at 2:56 PM
BrendanNyhan
More Foxification of MSNBC: Rachel Maddow distorting Sunday show guest lists as biased against Dems http://j.mp/k0UYbA
http://www.dailyhowler.com/dh0 51011.html Krugman nails the elites: We strongly recommend Paul Krugman’s column about the work of our willful elites. To read it, just click here. Tomorrow, we’ll provide an important service! We’ll exten…
May 11, 2011 at 1:17 PM
BrendanNyhan
Great headline from @jonathanchait: “Alan Simpson Angered By Math” http://j.mp/kIq7dE
Mlk_0 Alan Simpson Angered By Math | The New Republic Alan Simpson has been arguing that longer life expectancy since 1935 requires a fundamental rethinking of Social Security. Ryan Grim gets Simpson on the phone and tries to explain the statistics…
May 11, 2011 at 12:25 PM
BrendanNyhan
Implausible hype of Obama contesting Texas — good luck with that http://j.mp/lkBEen
http://j.mp/lkBEen POLITICO covers political news with a focus on national politics, Congress, Capitol Hill, the 2008 presidential race, lobbying, advocacy, and more. POLITICO’s in-depth coverage includes video fe…
May 11, 2011 at 12:22 PM
BrendanNyhan
My guess is this will evaporate like Obama bounce MT @rmichaelalvarez Gallup: US Economic Confidence Spikes on OBL Death http://j.mp/muyqaP
http://j.mp/muyqaP Gallup’s Economic Confidence Index improved 10 points in the week after bin Laden’s death, May 2-8, resulting in the best weekly confidence level since mid-February. Thirty-seven percent of Amer…
May 10, 2011 at 2:44 PM
BrendanNyhan
Clearly, we need a poll on whether to poll about the polls MT @stevebenen Polling about Obama polls http://bit.ly/lduLRV (via @GrahamDavidA)
Political Animal – Don’t poll about polls I’ve read the report a few times, and as best as I can tell, this isn’t a joke. Most voters believe the popularity boost President Obama has received following the killing of Osama bin Laden wil…
May 9, 2011 at 6:12 PM
BrendanNyhan
More optimistic finding on accuracy of opt-in Internet polls RT @CCESTweet: New report on 2010 multi-mode study http://j.mp/jgzt0y (PDF)
http://projects.iq.harvard.edu /cces/files/ansolabehere_schaf fner_mode.pdf
May 9, 2011 at 1:11 PM
BrendanNyhan
MT @GOP12: The more $ & education you have, the more likely you are to support Romney. Poorer & uneducated favor Palin http://bit.ly/jSiTn4
GOP 12: Income, education strong predictor of Romney, Palin’s support
May 9, 2011 at 1:08 PM
BrendanNyhan
Hilarious WP overanalysis of Sit Room pic: “choice of a wrap rather than a slice of bread…strikes me as very Bush-era” http://j.mp/l
zkII8
http://www.dailyhowler.com/dh0 50611.html Watching us become like them/Exceptionalism edition: Good lord! The Washington Post’s “Style” section has always been the place you go to watch big scribes make fools of themselves. But yesterda…
May 9, 2011 at 12:32 PM
BrendanNyhan
Also, don’t miss analyses from noted nat. sec. experts including Post’s dance critic, design writer, & Miss Manners: http://j.mp/kprEeq
Situation-room http://j.mp/kprEeq A tour of everything you need to know about the action in the photo and the specs of the room — from its gadgetry, to its cultural representations on TV and film, to its interior design — from…
May 9, 2011 at 12:36 PM
BrendanNyhan
Interesting field experiment RT @Harvard: Where we live and who we know can affect voting patterns http://hvrd.me/iC8my2
032411_enos_560_605 The influence of neighbors Ryan Enos is out to prove that how people naturally organize themselves in the space they live in can have huge political significance. According to Enos, an assistant professor of government at…
May 8, 2011 at 9:17 PM
BrendanNyhan
16th (!) Gail Collins mention of Mitt Romney putting his dog on the roof of his car http://j.mp/mkqhMY This is getting pathological…
Collins_new-thumbstandard-v2 The Spring Quiz – NYTimes.com Spring is in the air, and it’s time to see how well you have been paying attention to the news. No cheating allowed!
May 7, 2011 at 12:47 PM
BrendanNyhan
Dear @SurveyUSA, asking about racist attacks on Obama before a birther Q is probably not a good idea http://j.mp/krYnmP (via @ArgoJournal)
SurveyUSA News Poll #18131
May 7, 2011 at 12:03 AM
BrendanNyhan
Another kind of backfire effect RT @WSJIdeasMarket “No Smoking” Signs Actually Make Smokers Want Cigarettes More http://bit.ly/lH1XSM
Full_1304701062nosmoking “No Smoking” Signs Actually Make Smokers Want Cigarettes More – Culture – GOOD Though practically everyone in America knows that you can’t smoke in subways and office buildings anymore, for whatever reason, that hasn’t cut down on the prevalence of those bright red “No Smo…
May 6, 2011 at 11:59 PM