 From my Twitter feed (4/20-4/25)Apr 25, 2011 at 2:40 PM |
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Seven experts on “The Psychology of the ‘Birther’ Myth” at NYT’s “Room for Debate” http://j.mp/eB5Uk7
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| Barack Obama and the Psychology of the ‘Birther’ Myth – Room for Debate – NYTimes.com What does it say about the country that 45 percent of Republicans believe Obama is foreign-born? | |
| Apr 25, 2011 at 2:08 PM | |
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Chris Matthews and Pat Buchanan admit Trump coverage driven by cable news boredom with GOP field http://j.mp/g5aDo8
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| Daily Howler: Chris Matthews urged The Donald to run. Why in the world would he do that? UN, TRUMP, RUN! Chris Matthews urged The Donald to run. Why in the world would he do that? // link // print // previous // next // Lets be clear: Laura Miller a political writer. According to h… | |
| Apr 25, 2011 at 1:02 PM | |
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NYT: “2 Parties Seek to Streamline Presidential Appointments” http://j.mp/fPfeOj Still far from sufficient, but good first step if it works.
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 Lawmakers Seek to Unclog Road to Confirmation – NYTimes.com Lawmakers in both parties are moving to cut the number of administration posts subject to Senate approval. |
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| Apr 24, 2011 at 11:18 PM | |
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Looks fascinating. Definite pre-order. RT @daveweigel: Really enjoying Jonathan Kay’s “Among the Truthers.” http://amzn.to/gj9psU
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| Among the Truthers: A Journey Through America’s Growing Conspiracist Underground | |
| Apr 24, 2011 at 8:17 PM | |
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Survey firms take note – politeness pays RT @bakadesuyo: Another trick for increasing compliance: http://bit.ly/ePIiM3
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 Another trick for increasing compliance: A study by Howard (1990) proposed a compliance technique built on a social routine. We tested a technique based on an alternative routine. Our hypothesis was that asking people about their avail… |
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| Apr 23, 2011 at 4:44 PM | |
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Key quote from Politico’s birther history: “movement didn’t really take off…until…Obama team tried to debunk it” http://j.mp/fFnaBx
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 Birtherism: Where it all began – Ben Smith and Byron Tau Just when it appeared that public interest was fading, celebrity developer Donald Trump has revived the theory that President Barack Obama was born overseas and helped expose the depth to which … |
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| Apr 22, 2011 at 4:39 PM | |
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For more on why corrections of birther myth have failed, see my Political Behavior article with Jason Reifler: http://j.mp/aSxxEo (PDF)
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| http://www-personal.umich.edu/ ~bnyhan/nyhan-reifler.pdf | |
| Apr 22, 2011 at 4:40 PM | |
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Context for birther polls – my post on what we know about misperceptions: http://j.mp/fcKu6E See also Sides on “reflex”: http://j.mp/he6gRA
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| Is Birtherism Just The new /CBS poll — in which 47% of Republican voters aid that Obama was not born in the US — is getting attention. Ben Smith weighs in: What does this mean? I find it hard to believe that mil… | |
| Apr 22, 2011 at 1:25 PM | |
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RT @AdamSerwer: Thank you: Trig Trutherism debunked once and for all http://bit.ly/fFmKg5
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 Trig Birthers: Trig Trutherism: The definitive debunker Sarah Palin at a public event in Anchorage, Alaska, on March 14, 2008, when she was about seven months pregnant with son Trig. Trig Trutherism, the surprisingly resilient conspiracy theory that … |
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| Apr 22, 2011 at 12:32 PM | |
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Amen. @mattyglesias: “GOP Field Will Keep Looking ‘Weak’ Until Voters Know Who The Candidates Are” http://j.mp/fMLKas
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 Yglesias » GOP Field Will Keep Looking “Weak” Until Voters Know Who The Candidates Are I’ve seen a lot of people remark on the alleged weakness of the Republican presidential field against incumbent Barack Obama, but today’s New York Times poll offers both an explanation of the we… |
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| Apr 22, 2011 at 12:00 PM | |
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RT @conor64: How the right brought the Trump birther madness on itself http://bit.ly/dFoyvP // A conservative names and shames.
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 How the Right Brought the Trump Birther Madness on Itself – Conor Friedersdorf – Politics – The Atlantic Conservatives now lament ideas they were complicit in spreading in the first place. Here’s how they paved the way for The Donald. |
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| Apr 22, 2011 at 1:41 AM | |
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MT @JoeNBC: A National Review article takes on myth that tax cuts always pay for themselves. http://tinyn.ro/r/173B (via @davidfolkenflik)
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 A Credibility Deficit Kevin D. Williamson writes on NRO: Among sentences I do not like to write: Andrew Leonard is mostly right about this one. Tax cuts do not generally increase revenue, and Republicans should stop … |
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| Apr 22, 2011 at 12:59 AM | |
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Political scientist David Smith puts the anti-Mormon effect Romney faces in GOP primaries in historical perspective http://j.mp/hWzqie
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 Anti-Mormonism, cont’d – Ben Smith I posted a link yesterday to David Thomas Smith’s statistically rigorous attempt to show an effect of anti-Mormonism in the 2008 Republican primaries, and speculated that some of that effect mig… |
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| Apr 22, 2011 at 12:05 AM | |
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RT @jbouie: Pundits saying stupid things about “likability” is probably my favorite genre of column: http://t.co/bIrLWMA
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 Obama’s Completely Irrelevant “Likeability” Gap Now that we’re approaching another presidential election, it’s prime time for pundits and their tired, demonstrably false tropes on how to find electoral success. For example, The Wall Street Jo… |
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| Apr 21, 2011 at 6:43 PM | |
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47% GOP say Obama not born in US; 22% DK; 32% born in US: http://j.mp/dScHga @benpolitico says expression of hostility: http://j.mp/gBpoWM
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 Poll Finds Few Favorites as G.O.P. Fight for President Gels – NYTimes.com Republican voters have yet to form strong opinions about most of their potential candidates for president in 2012, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll. |
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| All birthers now – Ben Smith Getting a lot of attention this morning is this from The New York Times poll: A plurality of Republican voters, 47 percent, said they believed Mr. Obama, who was born in Hawaii, was born in anot… |
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| Apr 21, 2011 at 4:25 PM | |
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RT @mleewelch: Morning hypothesis: “Urban legend” = untruth that members of the dominant group believe. “Conspiracy theory” = same, but for out-groups.
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| Apr 21, 2011 at 4:20 PM | |
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Prediction: If GOP wins, low prominence of candidates will be seen as a key to victory. If they lose, major disadvantage. http://j.mp/eRxecf
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 Poll Finds Few Favorites as G.O.P. Fight for President Gels Republican voters have yet to form strong opinions about most of their potential candidates for president in 2012, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll. |
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| Apr 21, 2011 at 4:01 PM | |
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Reminder: Social media, microtargeting, etc. only matter if economy is in range where the election should be very close (which it could be).
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| Apr 21, 2011 at 1:04 PM | |
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Being an incumbent is tough-Obama expected to magically reduce price of gas (“he should make sure, you know, it’s lower”) http://j.mp/fQ5gL3
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 Obama Takes Deficit-Reduction Plan On The Road : NPR President Obama plans to control the deficit by cutting some spending on medicare and raising taxes on the rich. He holds a town hall meeting at Facebook headquarters in Palo Alto, Calif, Wednes… |
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| Apr 20, 2011 at 8:52 PM | |
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RT @daveweigel: Fun reminder: At this point in 1983, Reagan was down 6 points to Mondale. http://slate.me/esuhOx #itstheeconomystupid
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| Weigel : On the Uselessness of Polls 19 Months Before An Election Whenever I see analysis of polls that gauge Barack Obama’s electability in 2012, I remember that America has gone through other presidential elections. There was an election in 1984, for example… | |
| Apr 20, 2011 at 5:29 PM | |
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RT @drewconway: Hilarious RT @DaveedGR: Hahahahaha! Ann Coulter actually just claimed Saddam moved WMDs to Syria at the ASG event.
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| Apr 20, 2011 at 5:26 PM | |
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RT @benpolitico: RT @nycsouthpaw: RT @karlybolton: Best thing I’ve seen all day RT @alecjankowski: Man arrested during haircut http://goo.gl/fsIOp
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| http://goo.gl/fsIOp |
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| Apr 20, 2011 at 5:26 PM | |
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Dramatic public opinion data on the widening partisan gap in beliefs about global warming http://j.mp/gdUp5j
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 The Ever Growing Partisan Divide Over Global Warming | The Intersection | Discover Magazine Conservatives and Science | My latest DeSmogBlog item is about the depressing results from a comprehensive new public opinion study by Aaron McCright and Riley Dunlap. Basically, the headl |
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| Apr 20, 2011 at 2:51 PM | |
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MT @MoynihanPatrick: We covered some of the same ground on partisanship and global warming at last year’s AAPOR: http://t.co/xMWQHZK
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 An End to a Means: Partisanship, Policy Preferences and Global Warming | Patrick Moynihan Moynihan, P, Langer G, Craighill P. 2010. 65th Annual Conference of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR)Chicago, IL05/2010Recent polls have shown significant declines i… |
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| Apr 20, 2011 at 3:23 PM | |