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Bloomberg claims "a 3rd party candidate could run the government easier " http://j.mp/dpaJf4 (via @pwire) Ask J. Ventura how that worked out
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 NYC mayor says independent president a good ideaNY mayor, a former Democrat and Republican, endorses idea of an independent in the White House |
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Bayh joins the implausible divided government helps Obama crowd http://j.mp/aBRAti See http://j.mp/cQOAMw for why this is wrong
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 Sen. Bayh: GOP wins could improve chances of Obama reelection – The Hill’s Blog Briefing RoomLarge gains by Republicans on Election Day Tuesday could actually improve President Obama’s chances of reelection in 2012, a centrist senator said Monday. Retiring Sen. |
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| A preview of post-election storytelling – Brendan Nyhan I’m bracing for an avalanche of nonsense tomorrow night about why Barack Obama is responsible for the expected Republican landslide. Here’s a guide to what you should expect. It’s long been obvi… |
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Beware 1982 comparisons like this http://j.mp/9sWiOk Reagan lost 14% of House caucus, was no more popular than Obama. See http://j.mp/cpfMKv
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| Fred Barnes: Democrats Can’t Blame the Economy – WSJ.com In The Wall Street Journal, Fred Barnes writes that if President Obama had moved right after Scott Brown’s election, his party would be in better shape today. |
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| Brendan Nyhan: Judis vs. Judis on presidents and the economy Back in January, I predicted the birth of a thousand "Why Obama is failing" narratives: It's time to lay down a marker on punditry about the Obama White House. |
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Given campaign $ law, shouldn’t we roll back soft $ limits so that more $ goes thru parties rather than outside groups? http://j.mp/aKqe18
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| Review & Outlook: Campaign-Finance Reform, RIP – WSJ.com The Wall Street Journal argues that this year’s gusher of spending has made far more races competitive. |
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It’s true that recent presidents who lost re-election faced a primary challenger, but may just be reflection of weakness. http://j.mp/96dA7N
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| John Fund: Obama’s Next Worry Is A Restive Left Flank – WSJ.com In The Wall Street Journal, John Fund notes that a primary challenge from the left in 2012 would threaten President Obama. Every president who lost re-election in the last half-century has first… |
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Who could possibly cast an informed vote for all these offices? I’m starting Political Scientists for Fewer Choices…
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RT @ProfJRoberts my all-time favorite is candidates for coroner in my home county campaigning by insisting that they are "pro-life"
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RT @bshor One reason why polarization in the 112th Cong will be so high: Republican open seats going to big conservatives http://j.mp/93clZK
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| 112th Polarization Watch, Part 2. Winning Senate Republicans in Open Seats are More Conservative than Departing Incumbents « Boris Shor, PhD | ||
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I’ve been critical of Bai, but this is right on the money RT @MattBai Winners Tuesday May Benefit From Economic Cycle http://nyti.ms/97E8Fe
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| The New York Times > Log In | ||
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RT @alexrolfe Yet he [Bai] refuses to write "Winners Tuesday Won Because of Economic Cycle"
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Princeton’s Sam Wang: Senate 51D-49R, House 228R-207D; @fivethirtyeight: S 51.7D, 232.3 R, Stochastic Dem 52.4 D, 232.6 R http://j.mp/atWAuI
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| Monday final: Senate 51D-49R, House 230R-205D | ||
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In other words, Wang’s simple meta-analysis produces virtually identical predictions to overly complicated models http://j.mp/atWAuI
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| Monday final: Senate 51D-49R, House 230R-205D | ||
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Amazing. RT @Benjy_Sarlin: Every single pundit picked 20-25 seats as GOP’s 1994 gain: http://shar.es/09Vbf (via @daveweigel)
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| A Midterm Flashback – Beltway Beast – The Daily Beast As you may have noticed, we at The Daily Beast have been busily digging into coverage of blowouts past for historical parallels to tomorrow’s election. … |
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RT @davidlazer: An issue meter, based on text from campaign websites: http://www.iq.harvard.edu/blog/netgov/
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| Complexity and Social Networks Blog | ||
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.@AdamSerwer on how David Broder’s "blind ideological commitmen
t" to centrism leads to "moral cretinism" http://j.mp/beKdDP |
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| Adam Serwer Archive | The American Prospect | ||
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Lessons for academics (and others) — the too many projects problem http://bit.ly/8YfeA1
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| Don’t Spread Yourself Too Thin: The Impact of Task Juggling on Workers’ Speed of Job Completion | ||
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