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Princeton’s Sam Wang flags NV, WV, CO, and IL Senate races as the best values for donors considering polls and state size http://j.mp/92UEFN
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| 2010 Congressional races – where to donate | ||
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Midterm is not simply a backlash against Obama’s liberalism – incredibly simplistic claim by Krauthammer http://j.mp/cLA6zN
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| Wehner Fallacy, Left And Right Versions | The New Republic The New Republic covers politics, culture, and the arts with a focus on the White House, foreign policy, Congress, Capitol Hill, the 2010 midterm elections, literature, and more. |
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.@joshtpm and @mattyglesias latest to note that Clinton’s messaging skills didn’t translate to victory in 1994 http://j.mp/cypzCa
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| Yglesias » That Old Clinton Magic | ||
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Political scientists Barry Burden and Kenneth Mayer argue that early voting reduces turnout in a NYT op-ed http://j.mp/9YL2HJ
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| The New York Times > Log In | ||
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Unlike GOP Senate candidates (http://j.mp/9HlxI1), Weekly Standard’s Caldwell says tax cuts don’t increase revenue http://j.mp/bh3RGE
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| Economist’s View: One More Time with Gusto: Tax Cuts Do Not Pay for Themselves Republicans are selling snake oil once again: Some Republican Senate candidates have suggested that extending the Bush tax cuts — which are scheduled to expire at the end of the year — will actu… |
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| The New York Times > Log In | ||
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RT @smotus The gender gap is entirely a product of men becoming more Republican. http://tinyurl.com/23xw992
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| The Monkey Cage: The Gender Gap | ||
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Why so little strategic voting in FL SEN — Crist’s switch + Meek loyalty among black Dems? Meek voters should be bailing http://j.mp/bN8PGz
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 Poll: GOP’s Marco Rubio has solid lead in Florida Senate race – Politics AP – MiamiHerald.comRepublican Marco Rubio is on the verge of delivering one of the biggest political knockouts in Florida history, as a new St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 poll shows him barreling int… |
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At Dartmouth yesterday for panel on election forecasts. 51-52 Dems in senate and 50-60 seat GOP pickup in House was consensus.
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Cool new update to HuffPo Pollster algorithm RT @mysterypollster Using Kalman Filter as the engine for our trend lines http://huff.to/9iiyr1
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 Upgrading Pollster’s Trend Lines: The Kalman FilterRegular readers have probably noticed a few subtle changes in our trend lines over the last 24 hours (and perhaps a few temporary glitches). The good news is that we have been rolling out the fi… |
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Dear CNN: A "Poll of Polls" should have >3 polls http://j.mp/bs5cVc Please talk to @mysterypollster about licensing some @pollster data.
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| CNN Poll of Polls: Americans divided on Obama – CNN Political Ticker – CNN.com Blogs Washington (CNN) — Forty-seven percent of Americans approve of how Barack Obama is handling his job as president, while 48 percent disapprove of his job performance, according to a CNN Poll of … |
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Intrade’s GOP majority odds: House 89%, Senate 16% || RT @JDelaneyIntrade 2010 US Midterm Elections: Market Update http://bit.ly/c6I0dZ
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| Intrade Exchange News | ||
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RT @alexlundry Great data resource for historical election year polling numbers, by @RoperCenter http://bit.ly/9NAGNW
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| Congressional Elections Past and Present | ||
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RT @stevekornacki If anyone should know the futility of "messaging" in a midterm environment like this, it’s Clinton http://j.mp/dtE5Qc
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| Former president Clinton on mission to rescue Democratic Party in fall elections Bill Clinton is baffled. The former president’s friends say he is in disbelief that in the closing weeks of the midterm campaigns Democrats have failed to articulate a coherent message on the ec… |
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RT @JonHenke Who produced this ad for Roy Barnes? They need to be publicly shamed http://bit.ly/dbttL9
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| When Campaign Ads Go Too Far | Philosophical Fragments Campaign ads are a sordid lot. We all know this. But how do we know when campaign ads have crossed the line from spin to outright dishonesty, from |
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From @daveweigel, "a model example of high-level birtherism": http://j.mp/bYmfdJ
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| Weigel : “Up to And Including Impeachment” I missed this over the weekend, but Susan Demas has footage of Tim Walberg, a one-term Republican congressman running for his old seat in Michigan spending a minute and a half musing over the pr… |
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Correcting the NY Times: "Southern Democrats are in Trouble…But It’s Not a Realignment" http://j.mp/9a8yCz
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.@daveweigel asks why Blumenthal suffering less military record fallout than Kirk. The short answer: McCain IL vote: 37%; Obama CT vote: 61%
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Love this concept RT @mattyglesias Is anyone actually going to miss Juan Williams’ replacement-level political commentary?
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