Brendan Nyhan

  • Watch Woody Wittman

    If you haven’t been following Dateline Hollywood, the satirical entertainment news website co-edited by my friend and former Spinsanity colleague Ben Fritz, make sure to check out the weekly film reviews of their new critic Woody Wittman:

    Woody

    Woody is like The Today Show’s Gene Shalit if he lived in his mother’s basement. Or as Fishbowl LA put it, Woody “does for morning show movie critics what Borat has done for foreign correspondents.” Check it out, and don’t miss this week’s review of “United 93,” which Woody compares unfavorably to “Stepmom.”

  • Life imitates The Simpsons: A Ford reality show

    Ford is considering a reality show in which contestants compete to design a new model, with the winner’s idea being built as a concept car:

    Under one situation Ford is considering, aspiring car designers would compete against one another to design the next hot Ford vehicle.

    The script would play out something like this: Each week a panel of judges would review designs, laud the most creative ones, criticize the least inspired ones and send the losers on their way.

    For the top prize, Ford would build a concept version of the winning designer’s car and display it at an auto show.

    I hope they remember what happened to Powell Motors when they let Homer Simpson design “The Homer”:

    Images

  • The Wall Street Journal dissembles again

    The Wall Street Journal editorial board is twisting evidence:

    Scan the Web sites of the major environmental groups and you will find long tracts on the evils of fossil fuels and how wonderful it would be if only selfish Americans were more like the enlightened and eco-friendly Europeans. You will find plenty of articles with titles such as: “More Taxes Please: Why the Price of Gas Is too Low.”

    It is true that environmental groups generally want higher gas taxes. But the phrasing of this paragraph suggests that the article “More Taxes Please: Why the Price of Gas Is too Low” appears on the website of a “major environmental group” in the US. It actually is an article published in 2000 in the National Post Business Magazine (a supplement to the Canadian newspaper) and now posted on the website of Global Policy Forum, an obscure group that monitors the United Nations. And the author of the article, Christian Zimmerman, was primarily arguing for a higher Canadian gas tax, not an American one.

    Sadly, this kind of garden variety deception is par for the course with the WSJ…

  • Kathleen Parker on George Allen

    Syndicated conservative columnist Kathleen Parker is defending George Allen against Ryan Lizza’s New Republic profile. Her main defenses are (a) Lizza and others are saying Allen is a racist because they’re worried about him as a 2008 candidate; (b) Allen was a “rebel” in high school, not a racist; and (c) everyone makes mistakes in high school.

    Let me briefly respond. No one has said Allen is a racist. As I wrote before, “I’m not saying Allen is a racist — I have no way of knowing what his private thoughts are. I can only judge him on his public actions and statements, and that record is troubling at best.” Similarly, I don’t think Allen’s actions in high school would be a big deal except for the fact that his racial insensitivity as an adolescent mirrors his record in Virginia so closely. He went from displaying the Confederate flag as an act of rebellion to becoming a politician who exploited the issue of race for years. That’s a matter of serious concern for any presidential candidate.

    Parker’s column also includes also this incredible passage defending Allen against the charge that he developed Southern affectations while living in a California mansion:

    [Allen] also loves being a Virginian, even if he grew up elsewhere, and loves being Southern, even if he’s not quite.

    It’s interesting how conservative pundits criticize privileged Democrats like Al Gore and John Kerry for their the lack of authenticity while failing to mention the similar backgrounds of leading conservatives like George W. Bush and George Allen. Look for this pattern to repeat itself in 2008.

  • Allen ’08 futures: Largely unaffected by TNR

    Weirdly enough, the release of The New Republic’s profile on George Allen had little effect on the prices of futures shares that pay off if he wins the 2008 GOP presidential nomination (though trading volume increased substantially):

    Chart114474189076723426

    So why did his share prices not move very much? Here are some possibilities:

    1. Allen’s share prices already reflect the damage he will suffer as a result of his history on race – the article didn’t change anything fundamental;
    2. Investors don’t believe Allen’s racial problems will prevent him from winning the GOP nomination;
    3. The political futures markets lack sufficient depth to respond systematically to new information on a day-by-day basis.

    Any ideas? I’m leaning toward #3 given that (a) I think the article will hurt Allen with non-Southern Republican elites who want to modernize the party and (b) the profile included a lot of new information about Allen’s high school past that was previously known only to a handful of people.

    (PS I’m also shocked by the lack of attention to the article by major bloggers other than Ezra Klein and Kevin Drum. So why are so many liberals and/or conservatives failing to respond? Allen is the great conservative hope of ’08. Sure, it’s early, but this is the kind of stuff that can kill a candidacy.)

  • Duke accuser previously reported gang rape

    The Duke lacrosse story just keeps getting more surreal. The AP is reporting that the accuser also claimed she was raped by three men back in 1996, but no charges were ever filed:

    The woman who says she was raped by three members of Duke’s lacrosse team also told police 10 years ago she was raped by three men, filing a 1996 complaint claiming she had been assaulted three years earlier when she was 14.

    Authorities in nearby Creedmoor said Thursday that none of the men named in the decade-old report was ever charged but they didn’t have details why.

    A phone number for the accuser has been disconnected and her family declined to comment to The Associated Press. But relatives told Essence magazine in an online story this week that the woman declined to pursue the case out of fear for her safety.

    …According to the Creedmoor police report in August 1996, when the woman was 18, she told officers she was raped and beaten by three men “for a continual time” in 1993, when she was 14. She told police she was attacked at an “unspecified location” on a street in Creedmoor, a town 15 miles northeast of Durham.

    This is going to raise a lot of suspicion. The odds of Nifong getting a conviction are looking lower and lower.

    Update 4/28 7:45 AM: Bizarre. The woman’s father is saying that she wasn’t raped in the alleged incident she reported to Creedmoor police:

    The woman who said three men raped her at a party held by members of the Duke University lacrosse team made a similar report 10 years ago in a nearby town.

    Creedmoor Police Chief Ted Pollard said Thursday that a woman matching the full name and birth date of the accuser in the Durham case filed a report with his department Aug. 18, 1996, saying she was raped by three men three years earlier, when she was 14.

    Pollard said that the archived records from that time are sketchy but that it appears none of the three men named in the 1996 complaint was arrested.

    The woman’s father said Thursday his daughter was not raped in the 1996 incident.

    “They didn’t do anything to her,” he said.

    The father said his daughter was held against her will by a group of men who had picked her up from school in Durham and drove her to Creedmoor. She was not sexually assaulted or injured in the encounter, he said, and she was returned home safely the same day.

    The 1996 accusation came to light Thursday after Essence.com, the Web site of Essence, a lifestyle magazine, reported in a news update that the accuser’s mother had said her daughter was raped by several men in Creedmoor when she was a teenager. When contacted by The News & Observer on Thursday, the mother said the magazine misrepresented her comments. She refused to elaborate on what her daughter had reported to the Creedmoor police.

    “I’m not going to tell you anything,” the mother said.

    But the father separately told the AP he didn’t “remember” if his daughter was sexually assaulted in the incident:

    A phone number for the accuser has been disconnected, and her father said Thursday night he remembered little about the incident except going with police to a home where he said his daughter was being held “against her will.”

    Asked if she was sexually assaulted, he said, “I can’t remember.” In an interview with the News & Observer of Raleigh, posted Thursday night on the paper’s Web site, he said the men “didn’t do anything to her.”

  • Deroy Murdock blames the flack

    Via Josh Marshall, syndicated conservative columnist Deroy Murdock says Scott McClellan’s ineffective propaganda efforts helped the terrorists:

    I shudder to imagine how much McClellan’s haplessness has weakened America’s image overseas during wartime.

    Talk about shooting the messenger. If Murdock is actually concerned about America’s image overseas, shouldn’t he be worrying about George W. Bush? In the conservative movement as in the White House, PR is the cause of and the solution to all problems.

  • Duke accuser’s father: Broomstick used

    The latest from the nexus of Duke and cable news: the accuser’s father claims she was raped with a broomstick:

    The father of the accuser in the rape case involving Duke University lacrosse players said his daughter was raped with a broomstick during a party last month, and that explains defense lawyers’ claims that no DNA from players was found on her.

    The woman’s father, appearing on MSNBC’s “Rita Cosby Live & Direct” Tuesday night, said his daughter told him that when three team members raped and sodomized her, they also used a broom.

    The father said he learned about the broom from others, “and then she told me afterwards because she didn’t want me to know that part,” he said.

    Durham civil rights activist Victoria Peterson told the Observer on Wednesday that an investigator in the case told her the woman had been sodomized “with an object.”

    “He did not say a broom, just an object,” said Peterson, who has become a friend and adviser to the woman’s family since the party. “He told me she wasn’t just raped, she was terribly sodomized.”

    As usual, this doesn’t really add up. First, if “three team members raped and sodomized her” and “also used a broom,” that would not explain the lack of a DNA match. In addition, the father’s story doesn’t match with police search warrants. The Charlotte Observer reports that “police who searched the Buchanan Boulevard house where the party occurred made no mention of seizing a broomstick. And a broomstick was not among the items that police said they wanted to seize when they applied for the search warrant.” Presumably, if Nifong knew the victim was assaulted with a broomstick, he would be looking for it.

  • TNR’s Ryan Lizza on George Allen

    Ryan Lizza’s profile of Senator George Allen (mentioned below) is now online at The New Republic’s website. It’s fair but devastating. Please make sure you read the whole thing.

    One of the most striking aspects of the story is the extent to which Allen resembles George W. Bush. Like Bush, Allen was a child of privilege who adopted a “good ol’ boy” persona as an act of rebellion against the culture of the 1960s and 1970s, and then used that persona to get himself elected to office in a Southern state.

    However, unlike Bush, Allen has a long history of ugliness on the issue of race, both personally and as a politician. In addition to the professional race-baiting and insensitivity, much of which I documented last year, Lizza confirms reports I heard from readers who attended high school with Allen, who told me his car had the Confederate flag on it and that he spray-painted anti-white graffiti on his school to frame black students.

    Lizza also discovers that Allen wore a Confederate flag pin in his high school yearbook photo (in California!), and confronts Allen about it in the most devastating passage of the article:

    I stared closely at Allen’s smirk in his photo, weighing whether his old classmates were just out to destroy him. And then I noticed something on his collar. It’s hard to make out, but then it becomes obvious. Seventeen-year-old George Allen is wearing a Confederate flag pin.

    Still, I wasn’t sure I’d ask him about it. And then he says something that changes my mind. As a child, Allen tells me, before he even moved to California, he learned about the painful history of the South when his dad would take the kids on long drives from Chicago to New Orleans and other Southern cities for football bowl games. There was one searing memory from those trips he shares with me. “I remember,” Allen says, “driving through–somehow, my father was on some back road in Mississippi one time–and we had Illinois license plates. And it was a time when some of the freedom riders had been killed, and somehow we’re on this road. And you see a cross burning way off in the fields. I was young at the time. I just remember the sense of urgency as we were driving through the night, a carload of people with Illinois license plates–that this is not necessarily a safe place to be.”

    Now the pin seemed even worse. Why would a young man with such a sensitive understanding of Southern racial conflict and no Southern heritage wear a Confederate flag in his formal yearbook photo?

    I finally ask him if he remembers the pin, explaining that another of his classmates had the same one in his photo, a guy named Deke. “No,” Allen says with a laugh. “Where is this picture?” He leans forward over his desk and tightens his lip around the plug of Copenhagen in his mouth. “Hmmm.” He pauses. He speaks slowly, apparently searching his memory. “Well, it’s no doubt I was rebellious,” he says, “a rebellious kid. I don’t know. Unless we were doing something for the fun of it. Deke was from Texas. He was a good friend. Let me think.” He stretches back in the chair, his boots sticking out from underneath his desk. “Yeah, yeah, that’s interesting. I’ll have to find it myself.” Another pause. “I don’t know. We would probably do things to upset people from time to time.”

    He stammers some more, says he saw Deke in an airport recently. “I don’t know, I don’t know,” he continues. “It could be some sort of prank, or one of our rebellious–we would do different things. But I remember we liked Texas.”

    The next day, at Allen’s request, I send him a copy of the yearbook photo. A few hours later, his office confirms that the pin was indeed a Confederate flag. In an e-mail sent through an aide, Allen says, “When I was in high school in California, I generally bucked authority and the rebel flag was just a way to express that attitude.” And then he’s off. He explains that he “grew up in a football family where life was integrated sooner than most of the rest of the country.” He reminds me of his parole, education, and economic achievements as governor. He also tells me about the money he’s trying to secure for minority institutions and an upcoming speaking gig at St. Paul’s College, a historically black school in Virginia. “Life is a learning experience,” he muses.

    I’m glad Allen has learned the error of his ways, but it’s too little, too late. Remember, this isn’t just about what he did in high school, but what he did as a politician in Virginia up through the mid-1990s. If Allen is the presidential nominee, Republicans can forget about making any progress in attracting black votes. It’ll set the party and the country back a decade or more.

    Clarification 4/29 5:39 PM: I originally said that George W. Bush, like Allen, was “a non-Southern child of privilege” like Allen in the post above. The description of Bush as “non-Southern” is an arguable point — Bush’s family wasn’t from Texas, but he lived there for much of his childhood — so I’ve deleted it from the post.

  • TNR breaking open George Allen’s past?

    Via Bloodless Coup, I see Political Wire is reporting that Ryan Lizza of The New Republic is about to put George Allen’s ugly racial history on the national radar screen:

    Political Wire received an advance copy of a New Republic profile of Sen. George Allen (R-VA) in which author Ryan Lizza finds many of Allen’s high school classmates surprised that he’s considering running for president because of the racist tendencies he displayed as a teenager. They say he “plastered the school with confederate flags” and drove a red Mustang with a confederate flag on the front. Then Lizza got a copy of Allen’s high school yearbook:

    I stared closely at Allen’s smirk in his photo, weighing whether his old classmates were just out to destroy him. And then I noticed something on his collar. It’s hard to make out, but then it becomes obvious. Seventeen-year-old George Allen is wearing a Confederate flag pin.

    When confronted with this evidence, Allen sent an email through an aide with this explanation: “When I was in high school in California, I generally bucked authority and the rebel flag was just a way to express that attitude.”

    Wow. George W. Bush has many, many faults, but one of his few positive legacies is moving the GOP away from Confederate iconography and old-style race-baiting. Regardless of whether Allen has changed, his election would be a step backward for Republicans and the country.

    For more on Allen’s history on race, read my post from last May on the subject.