Brendan Nyhan

Bogus 2% approval statistic

On today’s Meet the Press, Tim Russert was the latest media figure to hype the ridiculous 2% approval figure for President Bush among African Americans in the latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll (PDF). This number is based on a tiny subsample — 89 people! It is not a reliable statistical estimate. But that hasn’t stopped Russert and many others from parroting it as fact. For much more on the problems with this figure, see Mystery Pollster here and here.