Brendan Nyhan

Hillary: No progress in five years

Via Andrew Sullivan, a new Gallup analysis shows that Hillary Clinton’s favorability profile has remained largely static for the last five years (requires viewing an ad):

Hillaryunfavs

The story is largely the same as the one from the graphic I posted a year ago:

Hillary2_2_1

This is bad news for Hillary supporters because she’s been getting a pass from the right for most of this time. She has enjoyed the most favorable political environment she will ever face. And yet the public did not warm to her.

As I wrote a few weeks ago, her favorability ratings are worse than her rivals for the 2008 presidential nomination. Why would we believe that someone who underperformed Al Gore by five points in New York in 2000 and has made little progress since is suddenly going to become a strong candidate?