Brendan Nyhan

Month: May 2008

  • Obama support in NC and IN by race

    Time to update my previous work on state-level predictors of Obama support. It turns out that Indiana and North Carolina were strikingly consistent with the trends in racial voting we’ve seen thus far. Here is a graph of total white and black support for Obama by the state’s black population (click for an enlarged version):

    read more

  • Gravel-mentum! Gravel-anche!

    Who are the 12,000 people who voted for Mike Gravel yesterday in North Carolina? And what planet are they from? I’m so confused. Update 5/7 2:28 PM: Phil Klinkner suggested an even better title. Watch out below!

    read more

  • Obama’s anti-political utopianism

    I thought Barack Obama gave a great speech tonight, but it’s just silly for him to claim that he will end negative politics: I didn’t expect when I ran for president that I would avoid this kind of politics [GOP character assassination]; I ran because it is time to end it … We will end

    read more

  • McCain v. the fundamentals

    Despite all of the questions that are being raised about the electability of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, the reality is that the political fundamentals are heavily tilted in their favor. Yesterday, Bill Kristol reported that the McCain campaign realizes how difficult a task it faces: Some conservatives are giddy at the thought — kidding

    read more

  • Brooks misquotes Hillary

    Today, David Brooks repeats the false report that Hillary Clinton referred to “Wall Street money-grubbers” — a widely circulated misquotation: Clinton rails against “Wall Street money-grubbers,” but her policies are often drawn from the Wall Street wing of the party. In fact, as her campaign’s fact-checking blog points out, she actually criticized “Wall Street money

    read more

  • A “he said,” “she said” highlight and lowlight

    Media Matters flags a terrible example of “he said,” “she said” journalism in this Washington Post story: The Washington Post uncritically quoted a voter’s assertion — apparently referring to a chain email containing a photograph of Sen. Barack Obama standing, but without his hand over his heart — that “[f]rom what I can tell, if

    read more

  • Will the gas tax help Obama?

    Jon Chait makes the counterintuitive argument that Barack Obama’s refusal to pander on the summer gas tax holiday will actually help him, but I think he omits a key factor: Obama will be proved right if a holiday is enacted and prices at the pump don’t fall much or at all this summer. (It might

    read more

  • Brit Hume v. reality on Fox’s audience

    Brit Hume, the Washington managing editor of Fox News, makes up a “fact” to fit a narrative he wants to promote: All of a sudden, the once-frosty relationship between Fox News and the Democratic candidates seems to have grown warmer. Mrs. Clinton and Barack Obama, who steadfastly refused to attend Fox-sponsored debates last year, are

    read more

  • Obama smear watch: Ann Coulter

    Media Matters documents more suggestions that Barack Obama is a traitor, which this time come from (who else?) Ann Coulter: On the April 30 edition of CNN Headline News’ Glenn Beck program, conservative pundit Ann Coulter asked of Sen. Barack Obama: “Is Obama a Manchurian candidate to normal Americans who love their country? … Or

    read more