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Yet more Dems-are-in-trouble-due-to-bad-messaging nonsense http://j.mp/d7TSKT Reality: No one’s spin would have worked in this environment
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 Drew Westen: What Created the Populist Explosion and How Democrats Can Avoid the Shrapnel in November
Republicans are running Tea Party candidates who are so far to the right you can't see Middle America from their porch. Some endangered Democrats will likely see victory in November from theirs if they understand the public mood and speak to it.
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Dionne also faults Obama’s messaging http://j.mp/deg5TF However, Obama’s approval virtually equal to the “Great Communicator” at this point
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| E.J. Dionne Jr. On How Barack Obama Can Use The 2010 Midterm Campaign To Rescue His Presidency. | The New Republic
The New Republic covers politics, culture, and the arts with a focus on national politics, foreign policy, Congress, Capitol Hill, the 2010 midterm elections, literature, and more.
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Contra @joshtpm, slow growth, not unemployment, is Dems’ problem http://j.mp/b7fc28 See @smotus and John Sides: http://j.mp/dm4a7d
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| Overdetermined | Talking Points Memo
Here’s a good piece by Nate Silver in the Times. Simple point: once you get past the simple fact that the terrible unemployment rate has a lot to do with the Dems’ awful electoral prospects, it’s very hard to make…
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| Dems will lose seats — but not why you think
With the 2010 midterm elections looming, many Democrats are nervous that double-digit unemployment and weak economic growth will cost them seats in Congress. They are right to be concerned: economic conditions influence how many seats the President’s party gains or loses.
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But @joshtpm is correct that most theories of Dem doom lack factual basis http://j.mp/dybB3p See also http://j.mp/am3uDR http://j.mp/diwr7j
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| Overdetermined | Talking Points Memo
Here’s a good piece by Nate Silver in the Times. Simple point: once you get past the simple fact that the terrible unemployment rate has a lot to do with the Dems’ awful electoral prospects, it’s very hard to make…
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| Is Health Care Why Dems Are Losing? | The New Republic
The New Republic covers politics, culture, and the arts with a focus on national politics, foreign policy, Congress, Capitol Hill, the 2010 midterm elections, literature, and more.
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| How Did Democrats Get Here? – NYTimes.com
There are no lack of hypotheses to explain the Democrats’ poor electoral position.
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J. Klein: “most important leading indicator” of 1-term pres. is “indifference on the stump” http://j.mp/9HMIYw Wrong! See http://j.mp/9mfQbX
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| Ezra Klein – Leading indicators I know I’m a broken record about this stuff but, well, here’s Joe Klein: If Obama is not reelected, it will be because he comes across as disdaining what he does for a living. I don’t think he thinks of…
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| The magical thinking of Fred Barnes – Brendan Nyhan
[Updated below with more details on Clinton’s win in 1996] I take it as a given that most journalists know very little about political science. But I still assumed that almost everyone has a basic understanding of the relationship between…
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Meghan McCain: Palin didn’t make my dad lose. Prob. true, but may have cost him 1.6% of vote http://j.mp/9KqBI7 http://j.mp/9MYP3f (gated)
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A statistical analysis of Michael Steele’s gaffes — love it http://j.mp/baTKjt
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| Michael Steele’s Gaffes: An Empirical Assessment | Rule22 | ||
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Gail Collins lacks a rudimentary understanding of Social Security, but she sure can write a Bristol Palin reference! http://j.mp/aAhj19
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| Print view: When no one cares about black kids, omissions like Chait’s will occur | ||
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