Month: November 2010
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Twitter roundup
Brendan Nyhan Nov 12, 2010 at 1:49pm From my Twitter feed (11/9-11/12) BrendanNyhan Nov 12, 2010 at 12:56pm Recycling material from ’98-’99, Brooks calls for "national greatness" movement, implausibly suggests could be 3rd party http://j.mp/dmGI9D The New York Times > Log In BrendanNyhan Nov 12, 2010 at 12:08pm Another dispatch from the Fox-ification of MSNBC
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Midterm Postmortem at Boston Review
Eric McGhee, John Sides, and I have a new article up at Boston Review that synthesizes our post-election analysis here and at The Monkey Cage: Midterm Postmortem Eric McGhee, Brendan Nyhan, and John Sides On November 2 the Democrats suffered a historic defeat, losing more than 60 seats in the House of Representatives. It was
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The misleading story of Harry Truman’s comeback
It’s boring to point out that divided government is bad for President Obama, so journalists and commentators have been trying to make silly up-is-down arguments about why GOP control of Congress might help him politically. These pundits frequently invoke the examples of Bill Clinton and Harry Truman, who both campaigned against an opposition Congress and
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Twitter roundup
Brendan Nyhan Nov 9, 2010 at 9:56pm From my Twitter feed (11/5-11/9) BrendanNyhan Nov 9, 2010 at 9:54pm IPS fellow parrots the "HCR opponents lost more" claim http://j.mp/bzulKe See http://j.mp/9W311z for why this context-free analysis is wrong Karen Dolan: Buck up, Progressives — We WON! Part 1The though the Congressional Progressive Caucus emerged virtually unscathed
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Twitter roundup
Brendan Nyhan Nov 5, 2010 at 12:25pm From my Twitter feed (11/3-11/5) BrendanNyhan Nov 5, 2010 at 11:50am Drew Westen sells the fantasy that Obama could have had a 2nd stimulus if he only tried harder http://j.mp/cqJSyP Ask the Senate about that Message to Obama: Americans want jobs – CNN.comThe midterm election was clearly a
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Beware context-free election analysis
Since the polls closed on Tuesday night, we’ve seen a rash of context-free analyses of the election results. Just as some commentators have interpreted the GOP’s 60+ seat pickup as purely a backlash against Obama and his policies without considering the structural baseline, these analysts have typically focus on a single vote or characteristic shared
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Post-Election Day Twitter roundup
Brendan Nyhan Nov 3, 2010 at 7:55pm From my Twitter feed (11/2-11/3) BrendanNyhan Nov 3, 2010 at 7:50pm Nice roundup of self-serving advice to Obama by @JoelMeares http://j.mp/cmZUe7 See also @jbplainblog who likes the spin http://j.mp/90WUjv The Advice Columnists : CJR A plain blog about politics: And Now, The Spin BrendanNyhan Nov 3, 2010 at
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A first take on Election 2010
There’s no question that the GOP outperformed expectations for the House last night by picking up more than sixty seats. The Douglas Hibbs model, which doesn’t include contemporaneous political factors, predicted a 45-seat pickup (PDF); the median pre-Labor Day forecast among political scientists compiled by John Sides was 43 seats; and the median pre-Election Day
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Election Day thoughts on impermanent majorities
After Barack Obama won the presidency with large majorities in the House and Senate, some commentators proclaimed that the president-elect had permanently altered the American political landscape, creating what the writer John Judis called “the Democratic realignment of 2008.” For instance, former Clinton adviser Lanny J. Davis announced that Obama and his party were “likely
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Twitter roundup
Brendan Nyhan Nov 2, 2010 at 2:48pm From my Twitter feed (11/1-11/2) BrendanNyhan Nov 2, 2010 at 2:43pm Bloomberg claims "a 3rd party candidate could run the government easier " http://j.mp/dpaJf4 (via @pwire) Ask J. Ventura how that worked out NYC mayor says independent president a good ideaNY mayor, a former Democrat and Republican, endorses