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.@davidfrum on how Palin supporters have shifted to anti-anti-Palinism as defending her becomes increasingly untenable http://j.mp/hw6fmI
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| Time for Palin Apologists to Let Go | FrumForum Many Palin backers have moved to a second degree of Palin-mania: They no longer defend her, but instead object to her critics and the media’s coverage of her. |
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More from Gallup on SOTU: "Post-State of Union Obama Approval Uptick Would Be Atypical" http://j.mp/heqSPv
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| Post-State of Union Obama Approval Uptick Would Be Atypical Gallup historical data show that presidents rarely get meaningful increases in their approval ratings after the State of the Union address. Last year’s speech did not immediately improve Preside… |
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Good @daveweigel deconstruction of bogus political credit-claiming for economic news http://j.mp/hw6L7C
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 Can Republicans already take credit for good economic news? – By David Weigel – Slate MagazineAt 9:37 a.m. Monday, the office of House Majority Leader Eric Cantor e-mailed reporters its daily news update, the “Leader’s Ledger.” The third item in the e-mail was a Dow Jones story on new pr… |
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My latest in @politifact: Post-#SOTU poll bounce for pr
esidents — myth or reality? It’s a myth. http://bit.ly/eb3YnG |
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 PolitiFact | Matthew Dowd says there’s no evidence of a State of the Union ‘bounce’CORRECTION: The initial version of this item erroneously attributed the comment to New York Times columnist Maureen Dowd. With President Barack Obama about to give the State of the Union address… |
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RT @MysteryPollster My take on the mythical #SOTU polling bump and what might be different this year http://t.co/vsBhR9S
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| The Mythical State Of The Union Polling Bump: What’s Different This Year WASHINGTON – Polling bumps from State of the Union addresses are largely the stuff of myth. That’s the message of before-and-after polls conducted over the last three decades. |
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Bogus claim in today’s NYT RT @kwcollins "Smaller districts would also end the two-party deadlock." <-Highly questionable http://j.mp/ievVvr
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 Build a Bigger House – NYTimes.comWhy we need more members in the lower chamber of Congress. |
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More armchair punditry from Bai RT @mattyglesias Quantity of unsupported assertions in Bai’s latest new personal best: http://ygl.as/e19Uj5
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 Political Times – For Obama, Getting Message Out Online Is the Challenge – NYTimes.comCompelling in person and on the page, the president has yet to find a way to make himself accessible to the wider electorate online. |
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SOTU media prebuttal: Clinton’s move to center not the main reason that he won http://j.mp/i2GGhT Obama’s won’t be either (if he does)
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| The magical thinking of Fred Barnes – Brendan Nyhan [Updated below with more details on Clinton’s win in 1996] I take it as a given that most journali sts know very little about political science. But I still assumed that almost everyone has a bas… |
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Clearly we need a Pulitzer category for "Breaking news first that we would have found out anyway" – VP selections, SOTU content, etc.
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Predicting SOTU content even less interesting than speculation about staff changes http://j.mp/fXy08X We’ll find out tomorrow! Just wait!
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| SOTU forecast: Atmospherics over policy – POLITICO.com Print View POLITICO covers political news with a focus on national politics, Congress, Capitol Hill, the 2008 presidential race, lobbying, advocacy, and more. POLITICO’s in-depth coverage includes video f… |
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New Harris poll via @sethmnookin : Only 52% believe vaccines don’t cause autism (18% yes, 30% don’t know) http://ht.ly/3J6YM
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| Nearly half of Americans still suspect vaccine-autism link – USATODAY.com Just a slim majority of Americans — 52% — think vaccines don’t cause autism, a new Harris Interactive/HealthDay poll found… |
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RT @ezraklein The one way in which obama’s current poll #s might matter is in convincing credible GOP challengers to wait till 2016.
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.@TheFix: Obama could lose key states and still take EC given size of ’08 win http://j.mp/eHaAtM Yes, but same was true of LBJ & Bush 41…
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 Obama could survive some bumps on road to 2012 reelectionWhen then-Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) won the White House in 2008, it was widely regarded as a landslide victory over Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.). |
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Most important Q on bipartisan SOTU seating-more standing Os due to social pressure on Rs by Ds, or fewer since Ds can’t coordinate as well?
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Reminder to NYT: Making Immelt an adviser isn’t necessarily "pro-business" http://j.mp/gE3rm4 Interests of an incumbent not same as sector
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 Obama Sends Pro-Business Signal With Adviser Choice – NYTimes.comThe selection of Jeffrey R. Immelt, the G.E. chief, for economic council adviser signals a shift in strategy for the White House. |
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George Allen announcing today http://j.mp/eZ5wMH Will the stories falsely present "macaca" as an isolated incident? http://j.mp/hHtDBj
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 George Allen to announce Senate bid Monday – David Catanese – POLITICO.comGeorge Allen will formally declare his candidacy. |
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| George Allen’s “macaca” gaffe – Brendan Nyhan According to the Washington Post, Senator George Allen, the 2008 presidential contender with an ugly history of exploiting racial issues, has described his senatorial opponent’s non-white staffe… |
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World classic. RT @ParkerSpitzer: Has the media grown tired of Sarah Palin? http://bit.ly/fc9Jvb #cnn Our experts discuss tonight @ 8 pm
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| Columnist declares February ‘Palin-Free’ – Parker Spitzer – CNN.com Blogs Washington Post columnist Dana Milbank calls on fellow journalists, including Kathleen Parker, to join him for a Sarah “Palin-free February.” Has the media grown tired of the 2008 Republican vic… |
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Great to see NYT op-ed on vaccine resistance, but "present[ing] the facts" unlikely to be as effective as author thinks http://j.mp/h27v6P
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 A Century of Vaccine Scares – NYTimes.comHow to finally change the conversation on immunization. |
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SOTU response announcement has put my post on Tim Kaine’s crazy eyebrow back in the news http://j.mp/fnNioT
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 Paul Ryan’s SOTU Response: What Could Go Wrong? – Garance Franke-Ruta and Chris Good – Politics – The AtlanticRyan seems perfect for the job, but something always goes haywire |
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Back in ’06, Columbus Dispatch called my blog "the site for chatter about ‘Tim Kaine’s crazy eyebrow’" http://j.mp/dOnug0 Very proud of that
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| Columbus Dispatch cites my Tim Kaine eyebrow post – Brendan Nyhan Upholding this site’s reputation for substantive commentary and insightful analysis, I’m quoted in the Columbus Dispatch discussing Tim Kaine’s crazy eyebrow: Blogger notes overarching concern a… |
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I love @Milbank‘s proposal for a Palin-free February, which calls out other pundits who harp on her http://j.mp/fGGk15 (via @jayrosen_nyu)
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| I’m declaring February a Palin-free month. Join me! |
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Obama’s failures in Fed policy continue to be vastly underrated relative to other economic policy mistakes http://j.mp/eZ6REH
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| Yglesias » Do People Know What Powers The President Has? | ||
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Memo to press — please adopt @daveweigel‘s disclaimer: "Everlasting Caveat: National pres. primary polls do not matter" http://j.mp/hynZIf
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| Weigel : Huck’s World First, the Everlasting Caveat: National presidential primary polls do not matter. Do you see President Hillary Clinton or President Rudy Giuliani around here? No? Case in point. With that, the n… |
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Oh no — another Dem guru! I’m having Lakoff/Westen flashbacks. RT @pwire Pelosi taps marketing guru http://pwire.at/hLbDK0
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| Pelosi Taps Marketing Guru Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire — News, polls and buzz |
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Contra Matt Bai and many others, "the Welch-McCarthy encounter was at the time essentially a one-day story" http://j.mp/gPB7Ls
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| On ‘transformational moments’ that journalists see « Media Myth Alert | ||
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NYT changing motto to "All the Amy Chua News That’s Fit to Print" — today’s review is 5th print article in the last week http://j.mp/eN5DcD
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 Amy Chua’s ‘Battle Hymn of the Tiger Mother’ – Review – NYTimes.comIn “Battle Hymn of the Tiger Mother,” Amy Chua offers a highly readable screed on the art of obsessive parenting. |
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