 From my Twitter feed (3/17-3/21)Mar 21, 2011 at 8:03 PM |
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.@forecasterenten: "3 models say: It’s a Tossup" in 2012 http://j.mp/fGhgJk My original post on likelihood of close race http://j.mp/evvk26
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 Margin of Error: Three models say: It’s a Tossup in 2012 Prez Race In a few weeks, I’ll be re-debuting my 2012 fundamentals based Presidential vote prediction model. It is a re-specification of Douglas Hibbs’ bread and peace model that if nothing else will make… |
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| Mar 21, 2011 at 3:56 PM | |
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RT @LangerResearch: Stanford study raises new questions about opt-in online data: http://abcn.ws/fONPpu
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 Study Raises New Questions for Opt-in Online Data – The Numbers The Numbers Blog |
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| Mar 21, 2011 at 2:40 PM | |
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Forthcoming AER article that estimates effect of case-specific information on Supreme Court decision-making http://j.mp/ihpJnn (PDF)
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| http://www.hss.caltech.edu/~mshum/papers/getitright.pdf | |
| Mar 21, 2011 at 2:31 PM | |
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NYT distorts Summers on gender yet again: http://j.mp/gxufdU Truth: http://j.mp/dDjeSz Past examples: http://j.mp/hCY2zS http://j.mp/eRW5P4
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| Mar 21, 2011 at 12:38 PM | |
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Via @MoynihanPatrick, another great Fox q: If you had $10K, would you put in bank, stocks, gold, or under your mattress? http://j.mp/gb3EEZ
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| http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/121610_poll2.pdf | |
| Mar 21, 2011 at 12:27 PM | |
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RT @GlennKesslerWP New Fact Checker: Dems make a bushel of bogus claims on anniversary of #healthcare law http://wapo.st/hcAvyZ
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 Gifts of bogus statistics for the health-care law’s birthday – The Fact Checker – The Washington Post The Washington Post’s Glenn Kessler fact-checks the truth behind the political rhetoric. |
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| Mar 21, 2011 at 12:25 PM | |
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Attention journalists: APSA guides to issues in American politics (includes expert lists and relevant publications) http://j.mp/dN8D61
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| American Politics | APSA About APSA Centennial Center for Political Science Membership Organized Section Membership Conferences Annual Meeting and Exhibition Teaching and Learning Conference Other Conferences in Politic… | |
| Mar 21, 2011 at 12:19 PM | |
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Fox News asks the public to read Obama’s mind: http://j.mp/hkW4y3
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 Enik Rising: A nation of Betazoids Recent Fox News poll question:Do you think President Obama is truly serious about reducing the budget deficit, or not?So now we’re asking the American people to assess the intentions of public o… |
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| Mar 21, 2011 at 10:44 AM | |
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Friedman promotes a Green Lantern fantasy of Obama "chang[ing] the polls" on energy policy http://j.mp/fCt1BA Background: http://j.mp/gehWkI
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| NY Times Advertisement | |
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| Mar 20, 2011 at 2:20 PM | |
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RT @pwire Model suggests Republicans will win 238 House seats in 2012: http://pwire.at/fDxjSd // Source: http://j.mp/gvkQ0j
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 Can Democrats Retake the House? Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire — News, polls and buzz |
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 Margin of Error: Republicans to maintain control of the House in 2012 Unless a historic event occurs, Republicans will still be in control of the House of Representatives after the 2012 election. How can I be so confident even when House re-districting is still oc… |
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| Mar 19, 2011 at 8:30 PM | |
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Excellent post from Phil Arena: Signaling Advice For Grad Students http://j.mp/igUokE
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 Phil Arena: Signaling Advice For Grad Students I think a lot (though certainly not all) of the difficulty that the average grad student faces as they work their way towards the PhD can be avoided by thinking about interactions with faculty a… |
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| Mar 19, 2011 at 7:08 PM | |
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Lovely: "Biden… compared Republicans in Congress to people who excuse rapists by blaming their victims" http://j.mp/eSRhZb
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 At campaign event Biden mentions rape in criticizing Republicans blaming their victims. Vice President Joe Biden, speaking at a fundraiser in Philadelphia Friday, compared Republicans in Congress to people who excuse rapists by blaming their victims. |
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| Mar 19, 2011 at 12:47 PM | |
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QOTD: "opponents [in 1923 Egypt] started a whispering campaign that ‘democracy’ was a Western term for wife-swapping" http://j.mp/em2gt0
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 United in Protest, Cairo Activists Now Struggle With Politics The people who helped bring down President Hosni Mubarak are under pressure to create a national party. |
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| Mar 19, 2011 at 12:44 PM | |
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New study on how "[w]eak supporting evidence can undermine belief in an outcome" http://j.mp/gBuxz0 (via @bakadesuyo)
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| Weak supporting evidence can undermine belief in an outcome New research shows that people who receive weak but supportive evidence about a proposition are less optimistic about the outcome than people who receive no evidence at all. The “weak evidence e… | |
| Mar 18, 2011 at 8:54 PM | |
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OMB nominee grilled on Obama’s misleading debt claims: http://j.mp/dXAGb0 Politifact called original statement false: http://j.mp/hJhv2F
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 Obama’s OMB nominee admits proposed 2012 budget does not pay down deficit Heather Higginbottom, nominee for OMB Deputy Director, admits administration was not accurate about the budget and deficit |
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 Barack Obama says White House budget would not add to the debt within a few years During a Feb. 15, 2011, press conference, President Barack Obama responded to a question from Ben Feller of the Associated Press about the president’s fiscal year 2012 budget, which had be… |
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| Mar 18, 2011 at 6:30 PM | |
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.@davidfrum on "Kristol-Pawlenty falling in" http://j.mp/gGqKz4 More evidence for Pawlenty case made by @jonathanchait: http://j.mp/fy9jB3
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| T-Paw: The Generic GOP Choice? | FrumForum The Kristol-Barbour falling out is getting all the headlines, but the real story is Pawlenty’s falling in with Bill Kristol. | |
 Tim Pawlenty: Why He’s The Frontrunner For The 2012 GOP Nomination | The New Republic The New Republic covers politics, culture, and the arts with a focus on the White House, foreign policy, Congress, Capitol Hill, Wikileaks, the lame duck session, literature, and more. |
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| Mar 18, 2011 at 6:30 PM | |
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More on Palin’s declining favorability (both overall and among Republicans) from @fivethirtyeight: http://j.mp/hrCi2T
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| Palin’s Popularity Declines Among Republicans On Thursday, a poll was released asking voters whether they’d rather elect Sarah Palin or … the actor Charlie Sheen. | |
| Mar 18, 2011 at 3:25 PM | |
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.@bpump explains to the NYT why party unity is down among House Dems – the minority doesn’t control the agenda! http://j.mp/eBThaa
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 Fact Check: Party Unity Votes in the House — Barry Pump’s Blog The New York Times has an interesting blog post about party unity votes in the House. As their headline states, “Democrats Face Party Unity Problem on House Votes.” The post argues that Blue Dog… |
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| Mar 18, 2011 at 1:26 AM | |
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RT @sethmnookin: Surprise! False, fueled fears of MMR vaccine in MN Somali communities leads to…measles outbreak! http://ht.ly/4gTgz
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 Mpls. measles cases tied to fears of vaccine | StarTribune.com Three more children under the age of 5 have developed cases of measles in Minneapolis, state health officials reported Thursday, including two Somali children who were not vaccinated because of … |
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| Mar 18, 2011 at 12:47 AM | |
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Scientific American: "more than 90 percent of unvaccinated people exposed to measles will become infected" http://j.mp/hFkal7
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 Fear and Its Consequences: Why States Should Get Tough with Vaccinations: Scientific American With preventable diseases on the rise, the states should get strict on vaccines |
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| Mar 17, 2011 at 7:06 PM | |