 From my Twitter feed (3/29-4/5)Apr 5, 2011 at 2:27 PM |
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RT @SteveKornacki: Gregg Easterbrook claims 3 of last 7 WH elections decided by 3rd party spoilers. False! http://bit.ly/g3C1ty
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 War Room: The myths that just won’t die Repeat after me: Ross Perot didn’t cost George H.W. Bush the election |
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| Apr 4, 2011 at 11:00 PM | |
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Yes we can mix metaphors! Obama 2012 talking points: “Winning the future is not a spectator sport” http://j.mp/dUSpVv
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| http://j.mp/dUSpVv The President will woo his top donors today. | |
| Apr 4, 2011 at 7:02 PM | |
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New AJPS article finds aerial bombardment of civilians helped Viet Cong http://j.mp/gE1RhL (gated)
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| Aerial Bombing and Counterinsurgency in the Vietnam War – Kocher – 2011 – American Journal of Political Science – Wiley Online Library Article first published online: 1 FEB 2011DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2 010.00498.x©2011, Midwest Political Science AssociationKocher, M. A., Pepinsky, T. B. and Kalyvas, S. N. (2011), Aerial Bombin… | |
| Apr 4, 2011 at 6:58 PM | |
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What pol could? Still too hot. MT @NewYorker Mayer: Obama incapable standing up to to passions stirred by terrorism: http://nyr.kr/eFRBSh
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| News Desk: The K.S.M. Trial Decision A year ago, Attorney General Eric Holder told me that the trial of 9/11-mastermind Khalid Sheikh Mohammed would serve as “the defining event of my time as attorney general.” Well, Holder may be … | |
| Apr 4, 2011 at 6:53 PM | |
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RT @kwcollins Lenz and Lawson in AJPS: “Television Leads Less Informed Citizens to Vote Based on Candidates’ Appearance.” http://j.mp/euv9uo
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| Looking the Part: Television Leads Less Informed Citizens to Vote Based on Candidates’ Appearance – Lenz – 2011 – American Journal of Political Science – Wiley Online Library Article first published online: 4 APR 2011DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2 011.00511.x©2011, Midwest Political Science AssociationLenz, G. S. and Lawson, C. (2011), Looking the Part: Television Leads L… | |
| Apr 4, 2011 at 4:40 PM | |
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GOP pollster’s “Five items that point to Obama loss” op-ed in The Hill taken apart by @ForecasterEnten http://j.mp/gPfXoZ
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 Margin of Error: Give me Obama’s stats, not anecdotes President Obama may or may not be re-elected in 2012 (models indicate a close vote is in store), but I have to take some issue with a recent piece by Republican pollster David Hill. He claims th… |
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| Apr 4, 2011 at 3:23 PM | |
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Reuters blogger @JimPethokoukis on threat posed by slow income growth to Obama re-election http://j.mp/gp9pfc (cites poli sci research)
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| Incomes, not jobs, could sink Obama re-election | James Pethokoukis | Analysis & Opinion | Reuters.com The Obama 2012 presidential campaign, which has now officially sprung to life, confronts a vexing political puzzle. The unemployment rate is plummeting. After the March jobs report release, Whit… | |
| Apr 4, 2011 at 2:51 PM | |
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MT @jay_ulfelder Hey, all you forecasting-by-historical-analogy people: please read this. “Why Experts Get It Wrong”: http://bit.ly/hPcgKH
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 Why Experts Get It Wrong – James Warren – National – The Atlantic New research explains why those we rely upon for advice so frequently lead us astray |
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| Apr 4, 2011 at 1:49 PM | |
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Impressions of the Midwest Political Science Association conference from the Atlantic’s James Warren http://j.mp/dJ5uFK (via @kwcollins)
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 The Potentially Revolutionary Political Role of Fried Chicken – James Warren – Politics – The Atlantic At the MPSA conference in Chicago, thousands of attendees heard, among other things, a presentation on how we can be lured to vote more often |
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| Apr 4, 2011 at 1:42 PM | |
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Via @smotus, the ideology estimates for politicos using Twitter followers (see fig.): http://j.mp/eW3o4w Didn’t know I was in it until now.
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 Ideological extremity in social networks « David B. Sparks Posted by d sparks on March 22, 2011 · Leave a Comment : Make sure to read Joshua Brustein’s nice write-up of our research at the New York Times, as well as Dr. Seth Masket’s impressions. At t… |
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| Apr 3, 2011 at 8:22 PM | |
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MT @jbarro: Median responde
nt in CNN poll guessed 5% federal budget spent on public broadcasting. http://bit.ly/exFR2v |
| http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2 011/images/03/31/rel4m.pdf | |
| Apr 2, 2011 at 5:56 PM | |
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Trump and the proliferation of Reform Birtherism RT @ChrisMooney_: Has Birtherism Evolved? http://t.co/F89IxSh
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 Has Birtherism Evolved? | The Intersection | Discover Magazine Political Misinformation | birther | Donald Trump isn’t stupid. And Donald Trump is a birther–at least of the I have doubts variety. Writes David Wiegel at Slate:Trump—whose campaign may qualify |
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| Apr 2, 2011 at 5:54 PM | |
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Yes. RT @abuaardvark: Is there literally nothing which a pundit can say to get laughed out of the community? http://is.gd/6XLKyr
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 GAFFNEY: Treasury submits to Shariah – Washington Times The U.S. Treasury Department is submitting to Shariah – the seditious religio-political-legal code authoritative Islam seeks to impose worldwide under a global theocracy. |
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| Apr 2, 2011 at 5:59 AM | |
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Blog headline of the weekend RT @ModeledBehavior: I Got .99 Problems, But Pricing Ain’t One. http://nblo.gs/g9xj5
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| I Got .99 Problems, But Pricing Ain’t One. From research done the Inon Inon Pricing Research Centre, and Leigh Caldwell: Everyone knows – or thinks they know – that prices such as £1.99, £5.99 or £9.99 are optimal price points for retail… | |
| Apr 2, 2011 at 5:16 AM | |
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BREAKING: Print headline from USA Today (in a hotel): “Young and educated show preference for urban living” http://j.mp/gf6MT3 #nottheonion
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 Urban centers draw more young, educated adults – USATODAY.com Educated 20- and 30-somethings are flocking to live downtown in the USA’s largest cities, even urban centers that are losing population. |
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| Apr 1, 2011 at 2:31 PM | |
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RT @kwcollins: Political scientists, ask Congress to protect funding for the Electronic Government Fund #savethedata http://t.co/DwklluT
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 Save the Data Sign on to our open letter to Congressional leaders asking them to protect funding for the Electronic Government Fund. |
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| Apr 1, 2011 at 2:20 PM | |
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Justin Wolfers: “How to Spot Advocacy Science” http://j.mp/gKiCpe See also the WSJ on the Laffer Curve: http://j.mp/eJ8fqv
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 Freakonomics » How to Spot Advocacy Science: John Taylor Edition Sometimes you see the perfect piece of evidence. The scatter plot that is just so. The data line up perfectly. And then you realize, perhaps they’re just too perfect. What you are seeing is advo… |
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 Replicating the WSJ’s “Laffer curve” graph – Brendan Nyhan Back on July 13, the Wall Street Journal editorial page published an editorial (sub. req.) claiming that “Lower corporate tax rates with fewer loopholes can lead to more, not less, tax revenue f… |
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| Apr 1, 2011 at 2:06 PM | |
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Friedman: “You want the truth about [the Middle East]? You can’t handle the truth” http://j.mp/hCIDxk Really? #early90scliches #hackattack
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 Looking for Luck in Libya – NYTimes.com Libya is just the first of many hard choices we’re going to face in the “new” Middle East. |
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| Mar 30, 2011 at 9:03 PM | |
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I hate hand-raising Qs, but would clarify MT @davidfrum Suggestion for weeding crazies from the GOP field by @noahkgreen http://j.mp/fBblSf
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| Would the Real Birthers Please Stand Up? | FrumForum When the first GOP presidential debate gets held, there’s one question that should be asked as preliminary screening to separate the sane from the cynical or crazy. | |
| Mar 30, 2011 at 2:11 PM | |
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More on the effect of controversial roll call votes on Democrats’ chances of re-election in 2010 from @smotus http://j.mp/gHStNQ
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 Enik Rising: The costliest vote revisited Steve Greene and I have been working on our analysis of the effect of roll call votes on the electoral fortunes of Democratic House incumbents in 2010. (See this previous blog post for details.)… |
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| Mar 30, 2011 at 1:45 PM | |
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MT @ezraklein Good poli-sci evidence showing shutdown could help Obama while hurting members of both parties in congress http://j.mp/hFImrw
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 A shutdown could help Obama while hurting both parties in Congress – Ezra Klein – The Washington Post Political science explains it all |
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| Mar 30, 2011 at 1:29 PM | |
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Smart take on one of Romney’s many problems besides Mormonism MT dbernstein: I contend it’s actually an abortion problem http://ow.ly/4oUCt
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 Romney’s Real Problem politics |
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| Mar 29, 2011 at 9:14 PM | |
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RT @rmichaelalvarez: Campaign ads — do voters pay attention and do they matter? | Psychology Today http://bit.ly/hmK4Ri
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 Campaign ads: Do voters pay attention and do they matter? | Psychology Today Do political ads sway voters? By R. Michael Alvarez… |
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| Mar 29, 2011 at 4:50 PM | |