Month: March 2015
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New NYT: Divisive GOP primary risks overstated
From my new Upshot column: Will the fight for the G.O.P. presidential nomination be Hillary Clinton’s secret weapon in the 2016 election? Not according to the best political science research. It’s often thought that divisive primary fights damage presidential nominees in the general election. People close to Hillary Clinton endorsed this theory in a Politico
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New Monkey Cage: Changing academic research
From my new Q&A at The Monkey Cage with Dan Hopkins: DH: So it sounds like you want to bring actual practice more in line with the deductive ideal in which we test previously stated hypotheses, is that right? Can pre-registration solve these kinds of problems on its own? BN: Actually, I’m skeptical that preregistration
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New NYT: Misleading Clinton poll reporting
From my new Upshot column: Has the controversy over Hillary Clinton’s use of a personal email account hurt her in the polls? You might think so if you read a CNN article published Monday night, which reported that “unfavorable views of Hillary Clinton are on the rise” after disclosure of her use of the email
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New NYT: Hillary Clinton’s management paradox
From my new Upshot column: Although the controversy over Hillary Clinton’s email is unlikely to damage her chances to reach the White House, her use of a private account as secretary of state suggests a larger set of concerns about her management approach. How did her staff not warn her about the political and security
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New NYT: Voters unlikely to care about Clinton email
From my new Upshot column: The report Monday that Hillary Clinton exclusively used a personal email account to conduct government business as secretary of state raises a number of important questions about government transparency and access to public records. Unsurprisingly, however, the conversation quickly veered from matters of policy into ominous speculation about the political