Uncategorized
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New NYT: Fact-checking can change views
From my new Upshot column: A lot of time and effort has been spent correcting the falsehoods, lies, rumors and conspiracy theories promoted by politicians during this election — most notably by Donald J. Trump. Does it do any good? Or have we entered a “post-fact” age? In some cases, research I have conducted with
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New NYT: Voters not outraged over FBI disclosure
From my new Upshot column (co-authored with Kyle Dropp): Hillary Clinton and President Obama are outraged about the F.B.I. director James Comey’s decision to disclose further inquiries into her handling of confidential email, but are the American people? Although numerous prosecutors and former Department of Justice officials have accused Mr. Comey of violating formal guidelines
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New NYT: Birtherism diminished but far from dead
From my new Upshot column (co-authored with Kyle Dropp): America’s most prominent birther has finally disavowed the myth he helped to create. Will Donald J. Trump’s concession affect the public’s belief about whether President Obama was born in the United States? Results from a new Morning Consult poll of registered voters suggest that fewer Americans
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New NYT: The effects of gaffes and health concerns
From my new Upshot column: Hillary Clinton undoubtedly had a tough weekend, but how much will it affect the election? On Friday night, Mrs. Clinton said half of Donald J. Trump’s supporters belonged in “the basket of deplorables” — “racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamophobic.” Survey data suggests that a substantial fraction of Mr. Trump’s supporters
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New NYT: The paradox of echo chambers
From my new Upshot column: Anyone who has followed this election carefully would be forgiven for thinking that voters have diverged into two separate realities. But it’s too soon to declare that we have entered a “post-fact” apocalypse, especially when we consider where people get information about politics. New research shows that the great majority
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New NYT: The problem with Trump’s “rigged” claim
From my new Upshot column: As public support turns against him, Donald Trump is suggesting without evidence that the election could be “rigged” by Democrats using vote fraud. This claim threatens the norms of American elections and could provoke a damaging reaction among his supporters. Ultimately, democracies depend on losers’ acceptance of the legitimacy of
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New Monkey Cage: The “missing 28 pages” won’t help
From a new Monkey Cage post co-authored with my former students Sasha Dudding and Heather Szilagyi: Last month, the House Intelligence Committee released a previously classified section of the 2002 congressional inquiry into the September 11 attacks known as the missing “28 pages.” The U.S. government allegedly kept this document confidential to protect its relationship
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New NYT: Trump’s strategy on crime
From my new Upshot column: In declaring himself “the law and order candidate” in his convention speech Thursday night, Donald Trump officially made crime one of his core issues. This emphasis is relatively new, and it’s strategic.
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New NYT: The Clinton case in context
From my new Upshot column: The F.B.I. recommendation on Tuesday not to file charges against Hillary Clinton for what the director James Comey called her “extremely careless” email practices has set off a debate over whether there was any partisan influence in the case. The issue came to the fore last week when news broke
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New NYT: Don’t assume Trump voters naïve
From my new Upshot column: Donald Trump keeps making promises that experts don’t think he can possibly fulfill. It might seem that he has people fooled by his implausible claims, which include pledges to make Mexico pay for a border wall and to bring manufacturing jobs back to the United States. The psychologist David Dunning,