Uncategorized
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New NYT: Why is the GOP talking about inequality?
From my new Upshot column: For decades, Democrats have been the party that emphasizes concerns about inequality. So why are many top Republicans — including a number of the party’s presidential hopefuls — talking about the issue? “Issue ownership” theories predict that parties and candidates will emphasize issues on which they have an advantage —
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New NYT: Will measles outbreak polarize issue further?
From my new Upshot column: Will a measles outbreak persuade more parents to vaccinate their children? That’s the question people are asking as concern grows about the outbreak linked to Disneyland that has spread to 67 cases across seven states. Some doctors have expressed hope that parents will be more likely to get their children
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New NYT: Ignore the early polls
From my new Upshot column: Public service announcement: For now, you should ignore surveys testing potential Democrat/Republican matchups for the 2016 presidential election. I’m referring to polls like The Washington Post-ABC News survey released last week, which made headlines with the finding that Hillary Clinton enjoys a big lead against Republicans like Jeb Bush and
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New NYT: The GOP field in historical perspective
From my new Upshot column: It’s audition time for presidential candidates in the “invisible primary” — the critical period before the state primaries and caucuses in which party elites help choose the eventual nominees. While Hillary Clinton is the overwhelming favorite on the Democratic side, internal divisions among Republicans are making it hard for pundits
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New NYT: Public attention to the State of the Union
From my new Upshot column: State of the Union addresses — like most presidential speeches – rarely produce a bump in job approval ratings or bring around lawmakers of the opposite party. So why does tonight matter? [T]he issues presidents emphasize in the State of the Union seem to affect which areas are rated most
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New NYT: Presidential approval and the economy
From my new Upshot column: When will the improving American economy translate into higher approval ratings for President Obama? It will take time. But if recent trends continue, Mr. Obama’s political standing is likely to strengthen.
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New Sunday Review: Unrealistic hopes for presidents
From my new Sunday Review/Upshot column: When will we give up on the idea of a leader who will magically bring consensus and unity to our politics? At election time, candidates seduce us with promises to bring America together, but inevitably fall short while in office and end up leaving office with the country more
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New study on correcting flu vaccine myths
Jason Reifler and I have a new study in Vaccine on the effect of correcting the myth that the flu vaccine gives you the flu. Here’s the abstract: Seasonal influenza is responsible for thousands of deaths and billions of dollars of medical costs per year in the United States, but influenza vaccination coverage remains substantially
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New NYT: New approach to sexual assault reporting
From my new Upshot column: One of the key factors driving the growing scandal surrounding Bill Cosby is shared awareness of the numerous rape allegations against him, which has prompted media companies and his beloved Temple University to distance themselves from him while encouraging new accusers to come forward. A Rolling Stone article has had
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New NYT: Bill Cosby’s sudden fall
From my new Upshot column: How did Bill Cosby suddenly become radioactive? On Wednesday, the cable network TV Land pulled reruns of “The Cosby Show” from the air, a development that echoed decisions by NBC to drop a sitcom starring Mr. Cosby and Netflix’s announcement that it would postpone the release of his new comedy