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No Labels = no supporters
I predicted back in November that No Labels would fizzle, but it’s remarkable to see the lack of interest. Despite widespread media coverage and a December launch event that drew numerous high-profile politicians, the group has only managed to attract 18,697 signatures for its No Labels Declaration (“We are not labels – we are people”).
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Twitter roundup
Brendan Nyhan Feb 1, 2011 at 1:01pm Twitter roundup (1/28-2/1) BrendanNyhan Feb 1, 2011 at 11:53am Reminder: Anti-Mormon beliefs are a huge obstacle to either Huntsman or Romney being nominated http://j.mp/i9Ohkq (PDF) http://j.mp/i9Ohkq BrendanNyhan Feb 1, 2011 at 12:42am RT @gallupnews: No SOTU Bump for Obama, but Approval Remains Higher: http://bit.ly/fYb7MQ (via @ezraklein) No SOTU
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Overstating Reagan’s effect on public opinion
Time’s cover story on Ronald Reagan’s influence on President Obama opens with this anecdote (emphasis added): In May 2010, Barack Obama invited a small group of presidential historians to the White House for a working supper in the Family Dining Room… [A]s the conversation progressed, it became clear to several in the room that Obama
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Twitter roundup
Brendan Nyhan Jan 28, 2011 at 8:16pm Twitter roundup (1/26-1/28) BrendanNyhan Jan 28, 2011 at 7:31pm Josh Huder on the relationship between incivility and productivity in Congress http://j.mp/eAhim1 Causal inference issues but interesting Can Incivility help Congress? | Rule22 BrendanNyhan Jan 28, 2011 at 2:24pm CNN shifts from Egypt coverage to … a new makeup
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Twitter roundup
Brendan Nyhan Jan 26, 2011 at 7:15pm Twitter roundup (1/25-1/26) BrendanNyhan Jan 26, 2011 at 12:45pm .@mysterypollster dissects the instant SOTU polls: http://j.mp/gzqe3e http://j.mp/foQl1V Speech watchers heavily skewed D as expected. State Of The Union 2011: Speech, Reaction & Commentary (LIVE UPDATES)WASHINGTON — Pleading for unity in a newly divided government, President Barack Obama implored
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State of the Union media prebuttal
In the spirit of my election night bingo post, here’s a quick prebuttal to the spin you will hear from the press tonight in its coverage of President Obama’s State of the Union: -Instant polls of people who watch the speech are meaningless (it’s a non-random sample skewed toward the president’s supporters, among other problems).
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Twitter roundup
Brendan Nyhan Jan 25, 2011 at 7:00pm From my Twitter roundup (1/20-1/25) BrendanNyhan Jan 25, 2011 at 3:03pm .@davidfrum on how Palin supporters have shifted to anti-anti-Palinism as defending her becomes increasingly untenable http://j.mp/hw6fmI Time for Palin Apologists to Let Go | FrumForumMany Palin backers have moved to a second degree of Palin-mania: They no
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Groups versus swings in elections
Via email, Alan Abramowitz sends a plot showing that President Obama’s approval levels with various demographic and political groups in the January 17-23 Gallup poll are almost perfectly correlated with his 2008 vote share among those groups: Abramowitz’s finding is consistent with exit polls which showed that the swing against the Democrats in 2010 was
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Twitter roundup
Brendan Nyhan Jan 20, 2011 at 12:33pm From my Twitter feed (1/17-1/20) BrendanNyhan Jan 20, 2011 at 12:31pm Part 2 of the BMJ vaccine series: "Secrets of the MMR scare: How the vaccine crisis was meant to make money" http://j.mp/fa9qnh How the vaccine crisis was meant to make money — Deer 342 — bmj.comDeer, Brian
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Sarah Palin’s poll numbers get even worse
Sarah Palin’s image problems have gotten even worse. A new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted January 14-16 (immediately after the controversy over her ham-handed response to the shootings in Arizona) finds that perceptions of Palin have declined significantly since October: A new national poll indicates that 56 percent of all Americans have an unfavorable view