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Alan Abramowitz on turning House votes into seats
Emory University political scientist Alan Abramowitz sent out a useful analysis today that he’s given me permission to post: From fivethirtyeight.com today: [T]here is another issue at hand: how much does the generic ballot really tell us about what will happen on Election Day? It might be the case that the generic ballot is fairly
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Continuing efforts to justify false “death panels” claim
One of the most frustrating aspects of the current debate over the health care reform is the way that conservative bloggers and pundits keep trying to find evidence to justify Sarah Palin’s false claims about a “death panel.” The latest example comes from bloggers Ann Althouse, Jim Hoft, and Doug Ross, who claim that the
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Twitter roundup
From my Twitter feed (8/13-8/16) BrendanNyhan with 1 source BrendanNyhan Non-GZ non-mosque before used as wedge: Ingraham 12/09: “I can’t find many people who really have a problem with it” http://j.mp/cxQgJ2 How the “ground zero mosque” fear mongering began – Ground Zero Mosque – Salon.com A viciously anti-Muslim blogger, the New York Post and the
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Abramowitz and Ornstein bust midterm election myths
Political scientists Alan Abramowitz of Emory University and Norm Ornstein of the American Enterprise Institute have a must-read op-ed in Sunday’s Washington Post busting five myths about midterm elections: 1. Midterm votes foretell future election results. 2. It’s an anti-incumbent year. 3. The president’s message is crucial. 4. It’s all about the economy. 5. Midterms
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Judis vs. Judis on presidents and the economy
Back in January, I predicted the birth of a thousand “Why Obama is failing” narratives: It’s time to lay down a marker on punditry about the Obama White House. During the next eleven months, it will become increasingly obvious that Democrats face an unfavorable political environment and that President Obama’s approval ratings are trending downward.
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Twitter roundup
From my Twitter feed (8/12-8/13) BrendanNyhan with 1 source BrendanNyhan Keith Olbermann makes a vicious reference to Bill O’Reilly’s physical abuse as a child http://j.mp/biNexr Keith Olbermann – Bill O’Reilly – Jennifer Aniston | Mediaite Last night, Bill O’Reilly made a flimsy argument that Jennifer Aniston (of all people) is a threat to America for
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Twitter roundup
From my Twitter feed (8/11-8/12) BrendanNyhan with 1 source BrendanNyhan Jonah Goldberg amusingly struggles to distinguish his offensive smear book from Kos’s http://j.mp/b1wKCS Judging Books by Their Covers – The Corner – National Review Online Jonah Goldberg writes on NRO: Okay, so about Kos’s cover. I think it’s hilarious, though not really for the reasons
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Twitter roundup
From my Twitter feed (8/9-8/11) BrendanNyhan with 1 source BrendanNyhan Hard to say Obama has slipped w/base by comparing approval to vote share @markos @openleft http://j.mp/cSIFO3 Diff. concepts and populations Daily Kos: Inartful 3 days ago BrendanNyhan .@markos claims no 10-point boost from #hcr due to intense coverage http://j.mp/buoqUy Reality: Legislation rarely moves numbers that
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Gibbs vs. Green Lantern-ites on Obama presidency
The Hill reports this morning that White House press secretary Robert Gibbs “blasted liberal naysayers, whom he said would never regard anything the president did as good enough.” It’s understandable that Gibbs and others in the White House are frustrated. While sophisticated critiques exist of Obama’s failure to take the initiative at critical points on
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Kos seeks to become the Jonah Goldberg of the left
Markos Moulitsas, also known as “Kos” and the founder of the Daily Kos website, has a new book coming out in the Michael Moore/Ann Coulter genre called American Taliban: How War, Sex, Sin, and Power Bind Jihadists and the Radical Right. As you can guess from the title, it expands his feeble-minded smears of conservatives