Brendan Nyhan

  • Metaphor alert

    Bush campaign manager Ken Mehlman in an email to supporters today:

    The entire country of Iraq was a weapons stockpile. So far, 243,000 tons of weapons and explosives have been secured and destroyed.  In addition, 163,000 tons of weapons and explosives have been secured and are awaiting destruction.

    Rudy Giuliani at the Republican convention (8/30/04flagged by Bryan):

    Frankly, I believed then and I believe now that Saddam Hussein, who supported global terrorism, slaughtered hundreds of thousands of his own people, permitted horrific atrocities against women, and used weapons of mass destruction, was himself a weapon of mass destruction.

    Somewhere, an English professor is dying…

  • Process, process, process

    Two major political stories in the New York Times ran today. One is about policy, one is about process. Guess which one got buried?

    Yes, the article listing the final battleground states and analyzing the Electoral College calculus is on the front page. And yes, the article analyzing the candidates’ policy differences – crucial information for any voter, especially now – is buried deep inside the A section. I’m a political junkie, so I love getting the dirt, but process stories just aren’t that useful – things change too fast and the analysis is too shallow. Sadly, though, they’re what the press loves (see Note, The). And then we wonder why voters are so poorly informed…

  • When alt-weeklies attack

    Our local alternative mag here in Durham, the Independent, has issued its election endorsements. Many of the local ones seem thoughtful and a few even back Republicans or more conservative candidates (shockingly enough). But this claim about the presidential election is totally out of line:

    At stake in this election is most of the social progress made in the United States over the last 50 years. In the long run, that is the most important reason to elect John Kerry. Racial integration and reconciliation, women’s rights, the environmental movement, separation of church and state, gay rights, health care, civil liberties, workers’ benefits, corporate oversight, gun control and open government are all areas in which the ideologues of the Bush administration are relentlessly, methodically and ruthlessly turning back the clock. The president and, we fear, some of his supporters want to take us back to the days when “family values” meant women, African Americans and gays and lesbians were second-class citizens, or worse.

    What possible evidence is there to back this up? Is Bush calling for a return to Jim Crow laws? A ban on women in the workplace? Nationwide anti-sodomy laws? Talk about a baseless attack.

    And in other evidence of questionable judgment, they ran a cover that’s going to raise hackles about voter fraud: “Vote now. Go to an early voting site and vote for John Kerry and the rest of our endorsements. Then urge someone else to vote. Then do it again.” “Then do it again” is in about the same size font as “Vote now” and everything else is smaller, so when you see it, the first thing you see is “Vote now…Then do it again.” Not a good idea.

    [Disclosure: The Independent ran a nice review of All the President’s Spin.]

  • The world of annoying, too-clever-by-half political journalism

    Slate’s Mickey Kaus suggested Saturday that “the normal tendency of voters to ‘go with the winner’ [might] be magnified this year because many voters who don’t feel strongly about the candidates do feel strongly that they don’t want it to be a close election with all the attendant Florida style recount madness. They will cast their vote to try to give the front-runner a 5 percent win instead of a 1 percent win.”

    Now, there may be some small bandwagon effect, but a) Bush tried this idea in 2000 and it certainly didn’t work and b) there’s no reason to think almost any voters are going to try to maximize the winner’s margin because of Florida, especially when the election is probably going to come down to the wire and it won’t be clear who is going to win. For now, the default public opinion is that Bush is going to take it, but that should change as the press starts to (finally) do the Electoral College math.

    I put Kaus’s speculation in the same category as Peter Beinart’s story a few weeks ago claiming Howard Dean would be doing better than Kerry in the race against Bush, which is just ridiculous. Kerry is a terrible candidate who is crippled by his record and senatorial speaking habits, but candidates who set themselves up as anti-war liberals from Vermont don’t win national elections. The problem is the journalistic emphasis on always having to say something new and counter-intuitive leads to a lot of dumb stories.

  • A man of principle

    This poll of prominent libertarians by Reason magazine reveals that many will be casting protest votes for Michael Badnarik, the Libertarian Party’s presidential candidate and a potential Nader-esque spoiler for George W. Bush. NPR just profiled Badnarik for “Morning Edition,” and this is the endorsement they got of him from a grad student supporter:

    We think of course drivers’ licenses and things are unconstitutional. And he doesn’t have one. And he’s been arrested several times for it, and he just will not submit to something that he thinks is wrong. I respect that. A lot of people think it’s crazy, but the idea of having someone in this country who’s actually willing to stand up for principle I think is worthy of respect, not of being laughed at.

    That says it all, doesn’t it? Protesting drivers’ licenses?

  • Social Security scare tactics

    I have a new post up on Kerry’s bogus claims over at Spinsanity. Check it out. Apparently, the fact that Social Security scare tactics are a hoary cliche of Democratic politics is no obstacle to another go-around.

  • Take the agitprop alert level up to Defcon Two

    The current headline on Drudge is “VOTE FOR DRUGS: KERRY/EDWARDS PASS OUT ‘PILL BOXES.’” But the wire service photo that he’s linking to just shows someone handing out Kerry/Edwards pill boxes. There’s no proof there are drugs inside them — campaigns hand out trinkets with the candidate’s logo on them all the time. It must be fun to have millions of readers and just make things up whenever you want…

  • Voices from the grave: Reinterpreting Derrida as a MoveOn.org member

    A friend of mine who studies social theory flagged this annoying New York Times op-ed called

  • Signs I don’t like

    Sighted on Friday in Durham – a sign that said “Support President Bush & Our Troops.” These attempts to suggest that opposition to Bush is disloyal are totally out of control.

    Update (10/25): I’m also not a fan of the bumper sticker I see quite a bit here that says “Defend America. Defeat Bush.” Ridiculous.